Skip to main content
TGBTrekor Metals LimitedSell5.8·$8.09
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Taseko Mines delivered 70% revenue growth year-over-year as copper prices surged, but the forward earnings multiple of 10.8x combined with a forward-to-trailing earnings ratio of only 0.06x signals that analyst estimates may be built on peak commodity prices that are at material risk of mean reversion, while free cash flow is deeply negative at -1,536% of net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Copper Cycle Earnings Quality Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Technical Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • Earnings Inline Not Beat↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Trekor Metals Limited (TGB) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.09: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.81; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Trekor Metals Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the... Read more

$8.09+9.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 7 Copper
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-3.48%
Stop $7.52Target $8.82(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$10.38+28.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.09: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.81; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=10.4x,ratio=0.03x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15

Recent Developments — Trekor Metals Limited

Generated 2026-10-16T01:42:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 10.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.03× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)410.0
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE2.2%
Rev Growth184.8%
Beta2.09
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C10.81bearish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Volume
3.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=10.4x,ratio=0.03xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.67Resistance $9.38

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.09: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.81; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.52. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.82 (+9.0% upside). Prior stop was $7.52. Stop-loss: $7.52.

What are the risks of investing in TGB?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 10.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.03× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Is TGB overvalued or undervalued?

Trekor Metals Limited trades at a P/E of 410.0 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGB?

11 analysts cover TGB with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Trekor Metals Limited do?Trekor Metals Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum,...

Trekor Metals Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the Florence Copper project in Arizona. The company was formerly known as Taseko Mines Limited and changed its name Trekor Metals Limited in June 2026. Trekor Metals Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: ERO (Ero Copper Corp.) · HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.) · IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) · SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation)
Home › Stocks › TGB

Latest news

Latest News

Tradingview.com64d ago
The Manila Times71d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com71d agoEarnings
Finance.yahoo.com71d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance71d agoEarnings
Investing.com Canada71d ago
Scanx.trade72d agoEarnings
Vinanet.vn52d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance49d ago
TipRanks50d agoLeadership Change
Seeking Alpha56d ago
Investing.com Nigeria57d agoAnalyst
The Globe and Mail70d agoEarnings
TradingKey71d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media71d ago
Yahoo Finance52d ago
TipRanks53d ago
Kalkine Media53d agoLeadership Change
Vinanet.vn53d ago
Yahoo Finance66d ago
Loading more...