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Taseko Mines, Ltd. (TGB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.52: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Taseko Mines Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the... Read more

$6.52+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-9.43%
Stop $6.23Target $6.56(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$7.72+18.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.52: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=9.3x,ratio=0.05x. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Taseko Mines, Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.05× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Target reached (0.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)170.8
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn2.0%
ROE2.3%
Rev Growth70.4%
Beta2.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.8
Roa
1.0
Net Margin
1.0
Gross Margin
4.5
Current Ratio
5.1
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Operating Margin
9.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1536% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=9.3x,ratio=0.05xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.42Resistance $8.08

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.52: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $6.23. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.56 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $6.23. Stop-loss: $6.23.

What are the risks of investing in TGB?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.05× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Target reached (0.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is TGB overvalued or undervalued?

Taseko Mines, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 170.8 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGB?

11 analysts cover TGB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Taseko Mines, Ltd. do?Taseko Mines Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum,...

Taseko Mines Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the Florence Copper project in Arizona. It also owns interests in the Yellowhead copper, the New Prosperity gold-copper, and the Aley niobium projects located in British Columbia. Taseko Mines Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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