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Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced... Read more

$26.37+12.4% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#1 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.68%
Stop $24.52Target $29.64(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$34.87+32.2%3 analysts
$29.64our TP
$26.37price
$34.87mean
$41

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Ero Copper Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE32.5%
Rev Growth110.4%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.6
Macd
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.41Resistance $32.76

Price Targets

$25
$30
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ERO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.64 (+12.4%), stop $24.52 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ERO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.64 (+12.4% upside). Target $29.64 (+12.4%), stop $24.52 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $24.52.

What are the risks of investing in ERO?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is ERO overvalued or undervalued?

Ero Copper Corp. trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ERO?

21 analysts cover ERO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Ero Copper Corp. do?Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship...

Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced and sold as by-products. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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