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SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation (TheHold6.3·$93.72+3.05%
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Charles Schwab Corporation (The (SCHW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Charles Schwab provides wealth management, brokerage, banking, and asset management through two segments — Investor Services (individual investors and workplace plans) and Advisor Services (RIAs) — holding $11.90 trillion in client assets across 38.5 million active brokerage... Read more

$93.72+11.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#10 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout22.47%sustainable
Stop $89.49Target $104.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$116.05+23.8%19 analysts
$104.45our TP
$93.72price
$116.05mean
$84
$137

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Charles Schwab Corporation (The

About Charles Schwab Corporation (The

Charles Schwab managed $11.90 trillion in client assets at December 31, 2025, across 38.5 million active brokerage accounts, 5.7 million workplace plan participant accounts, and 2.2 million banking accounts, with total consolidated assets of approximately $491 billion placing it in the Federal Reserve's Category III regulatory framework. Two segments — Investor Services (retail investors, workplace plans, mutual fund clearing) and Advisor Services (RIAs and recordkeepers) — generate the company's four primary revenue streams: net interest revenue, asset management and administration fees, trading revenue, and bank deposit account fees.

Schwab earns net interest revenue on client cash held at its banking subsidiaries — Charles Schwab Bank, SSB; Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB; and Charles Schwab Trust Bank — which fund interest-earning assets including investment securities, margin loans, and bank loans. Asset management and administration fees come primarily from proprietary money market mutual funds, Schwab ETFs, and fee-based managed investing solutions. Bank deposit account fees are earned under the 2023 IDA agreement with TD Bank USA, National Association and TD Bank, National Association (the TD Depository Institutions), through which uninvested client cash is swept off-balance sheet and Schwab provides recordkeeping services for a fee. In 2022 and 2023, rapid interest rate increases caused significant client cash migration from sweep accounts into higher-yielding alternatives, requiring Schwab to rely on more expensive wholesale funding that compressed net income. In November 2025, Schwab announced a definitive agreement to acquire Forge Global Holdings, a private market platform, for approximately $660 million, with closing expected in the first quarter of 2026.

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Schwab's net interest revenue and bank deposit account fees both respond to Federal Reserve policy. The 2023 IDA agreement commits the company to maintaining prescribed minimum and maximum insured deposit account balances with the TD Depository Institutions, limiting its ability to respond to rate changes. A decline in short-term rates could adversely affect yields on the $491 billion asset base while also eroding bank deposit account fee revenue. Additionally, if total consolidated assets reach $700 billion, Schwab would move from Category III to Category II under the Federal Reserve's framework, losing the AOCI opt-out election that currently excludes unrealized investment losses from regulatory capital calculations.

See also: Financial Services · Capital Markets

From Charles Schwab Corporation (The's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Overbought (RSI 75)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.1
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$158.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn38.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.63bearish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$38-60.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFederal Reserve
    10-K Item 1: 'CSC is a savings and loan holding company and is regulated, supervised, and examined by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve)'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyTD Depository Institutions
    10-K Item 1: 'uninvested cash within eligible brokerage client accounts is swept off-balance sheet to deposit accounts at the TD Depository Institutions'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.1
Value Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
7.1
Best-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $83.96Resistance $93.70

Price Targets

$89
$104
A.Upside+11.4%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCHW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $104.45 (+11.4%), stop $89.49 (−4.7%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCHW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.45 (+11.5% upside). Target $104.45 (+11.4%), stop $89.49 (−4.7%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $89.49.

What are the risks of investing in SCHW?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Overbought (RSI 75).

Is SCHW overvalued or undervalued?

Charles Schwab Corporation (The trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SCHW?

28 analysts cover SCHW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Charles Schwab Corporation (The do?Charles Schwab provides wealth management, brokerage, banking, and asset management through two segments — Investor...

Charles Schwab provides wealth management, brokerage, banking, and asset management through two segments — Investor Services (individual investors and workplace plans) and Advisor Services (RIAs) — holding $11.90 trillion in client assets across 38.5 million active brokerage accounts at December 31, 2025. Revenue derives from net interest income, asset management fees, trading commissions, and bank deposit account fees under a sweep agreement with the TD Depository Institutions.

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