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TWTradeweb Markets Inc.Sell6.5·$102.00+0.27%
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Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $102.00: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving more than 3,000 clients in over 85 countries. Revenue comes from transaction fees and data subscriptions, with credit asset class revenues reaching $488.0... Read more

$102.00+15.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#7 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.55%(5y avg 0.40%)Payout12.35%sustainable
Stop $95.87Target $117.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$134.86+32.2%14 analysts
$117.33our TP
$102.00price
$134.86mean
$197

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $102.00: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tradeweb Markets Inc.

About Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Tradeweb Markets posted $488.0 million in credit asset class revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, part of a platform that processed $2.6 trillion in average daily volume — up 213% from $0.8 trillion in 2020. The company serves more than 3,000 clients across 85 countries spanning institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate treasury sectors. LSEG is Tradeweb's controlling shareholder and simultaneously holds a market data distribution agreement through which it distributes Tradeweb pricing data via its flagship financial platforms.

Tradeweb generates revenue through transaction fees and subscription charges across rates, credit, equities, and money markets, with credit revenues having grown from a niche product to $488.0 million annually over more than a decade since launch. The institutional client sector is the largest, comprising asset managers, hedge funds, insurance companies, and central banks that trade primarily through Tradeweb's D2C protocols including RFQ, portfolio trading, and AiEX automated execution. Dealer clients are foundational to the marketplace model: without dealers willing to provide two-way liquidity, the D2C protocols fail. Competitors include Bloomberg and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), each of which also offers data and analytics to institutional market participants and holds relationships with the vast majority of institutional, wholesale, and retail clients. The August 2024 acquisition of Institutional Cash Distributors broadened the company's offering to corporate treasury clients trading short-term instruments such as money market funds.

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Tradeweb's relationship with LSEG spans ownership control and a commercial market data license, creating a dual dependency that the 10-K flags as a governance risk where LSEG's interests may conflict with those of other stockholders. LSEG controls Tradeweb under Nasdaq 'controlled company' status, which exempts it from certain board independence requirements. The market data license agreement with LSEG affiliates distributes Tradeweb pricing data through LSEG platforms; the filing also identifies potential expansion of this agreement as a key data monetization path, meaning LSEG's strategic priorities could shape Tradeweb's data distribution trajectory.

See also: Financial Services · Capital Markets

From Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.1
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$22.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn40.3%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.55%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$135+32.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartydealer clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on our dealer clients to support our marketplaces by transacting with our other institutional, wholesale and retail clients'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $94.25Resistance $113.23

Price Targets

$96
$117
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts22
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$135

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $102.00: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $95.87. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.33 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $95.87. Stop-loss: $95.87.

What are the risks of investing in TW?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TW overvalued or undervalued?

Tradeweb Markets Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TW?

22 analysts cover TW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $135.

What does Tradeweb Markets Inc. do?Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets,...

Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving more than 3,000 clients in over 85 countries. Revenue comes from transaction fees and data subscriptions, with credit asset class revenues reaching $488.0 million for 2025 and average daily volume of $2.6 trillion. LSEG is the controlling shareholder.

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