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Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Tradeweb operates electronic trading marketplaces for global fixed income (U.S. Treasuries, swaps, corporate bonds, ETFs), equities, and money markets, serving 3,000+ institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate clients across 85+ countries. Revenue is earned through... Read more

$110.85+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#11 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.50%(5y avg 0.39%)Payout12.35%sustainable
Stop $104.56Target $119.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$136.79+23.4%14 analysts
$119.00our TP
$110.85price
$136.79mean
$197

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.8
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$24.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn40.3%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta0.67
Dividend0.50%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.63bearish
IV40%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $105.91Resistance $118.26

Price Targets

$105
$119
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $119.00 (+7.4%), stop $104.56 (−6.0%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.00 (+7.4% upside). Target $119.00 (+7.4%), stop $104.56 (−6.0%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $104.56.

What are the risks of investing in TW?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TW overvalued or undervalued?

Tradeweb Markets Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.8 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TW?

22 analysts cover TW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $137.

What does Tradeweb Markets Inc. do?Tradeweb operates electronic trading marketplaces for global fixed income (U.S. Treasuries, swaps, corporate bonds,...

Tradeweb operates electronic trading marketplaces for global fixed income (U.S. Treasuries, swaps, corporate bonds, ETFs), equities, and money markets, serving 3,000+ institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate clients across 85+ countries. Revenue is earned through transaction fees and data/subscription services; average daily volume reached $2.6 trillion in 2025. LSEG is the controlling shareholder.

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