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HUBSHubSpot, Inc.Hold5.7·$184.63-0.77%
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HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $184.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

HubSpot provides subscription-based marketing, sales, and customer service software to mid-market B2B companies across more than 135 countries, organized into six engagement Hubs plus a Smart CRM. The company generated $3.1 billion in revenue and $45.9 million net income in... Read more

$184.63+41.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#50 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.89%
Stop $170.28Target $257.75(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$280.16+51.7%33 analysts
$257.75our TP
$184.63price
$280.16mean
$450

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $184.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About HubSpot, Inc.

About HubSpot, Inc.

HubSpot's unified customer platform reached 288,706 customers across 135+ countries by December 31, 2025, generating $3.1 billion in total revenue and $45.9 million in net income. International customers contributed approximately 48% of revenue that year, with 8,882 full-time employees and six engagement Hubs spanning marketing, sales, service, operations, content, and commerce.

Revenue is almost entirely subscription-based, with customers on annual or shorter contract terms and no single customer exceeding 10% of revenue. The company sells primarily to mid-market B2B companies with 2–2,000 employees, distributing through direct sales and a worldwide Solutions Partner network; Solutions Partners and their referred customers accounted for approximately 49% of revenue in 2025. HubSpot competes against cloud-based marketing automation providers, sales force automation and CRM vendors, customer service software providers, and large-scale enterprise suites — some of which have greater financial resources and may bundle CRM at little or no additional cost. The 10-K flags that generic large language models and generative AI tools may compete with its platform without specialist positioning, potentially compelling price reductions. The freemium model funnels users from free-tier products into paid Hubs, with pricing tiers designed to capture more spend as customers grow.

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The Solutions Partner channel, which generated approximately 49% of 2025 revenue, represents HubSpot's primary distribution dependency. The 10-K explicitly warns that if Solutions Partners do not refer a growing number of customers, or if they stop providing services that HubSpot would otherwise need to supply internally, revenue and operating costs could be adversely affected. Compounding this, the subscription model means renewal rates drive a substantial portion of quarterly reported revenue — declines in renewals may not appear in reported results until future quarters, a lag that could obscure deteriorating trends in customer health.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From HubSpot, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)97.9
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$9.5B
EV/EBITDA91.9
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$1020+452.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerSolutions Partners channel49%
    10-K Item 1: 'Solutions Partners and customers referred to us by our Solutions Partners represented ... approximately 49% of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational customers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 53% of our Customers were located outside of the United States and these Customers generated approximately 48% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Director Ron Gill notified the Board on March 27, 2026 of his resignation effective June 30, 2026. No disagreement with the company cited. Mike Berry appointed as Class III director effective April 1, 2026 to fill vacancy created by board size increase to 12.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $175.55Resistance $262.38

Price Targets

$170
$258
A.Upside+39.6%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $184.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $257.75 (+39.6%), stop $170.28 (−8.4%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $257.75 (+41.0% upside). Target $257.75 (+39.6%), stop $170.28 (−8.4%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $170.28.

What are the risks of investing in HUBS?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HUBS overvalued or undervalued?

HubSpot, Inc. trades at a P/E of 97.9 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HUBS?

42 analysts cover HUBS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $280.

What does HubSpot, Inc. do?HubSpot provides subscription-based marketing, sales, and customer service software to mid-market B2B companies across...

HubSpot provides subscription-based marketing, sales, and customer service software to mid-market B2B companies across more than 135 countries, organized into six engagement Hubs plus a Smart CRM. The company generated $3.1 billion in revenue and $45.9 million net income in 2025, serving 288,706 customers, with approximately 49% of revenue flowing through its Solutions Partner network.

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