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HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $207.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for marketing, sales, and service teams, targeting mid-market B2B companies globally. The company sells primarily via subscription, generating $3.1B in 2025 revenue from 288,706 customers in 135+ countries. Solutions Partners... Read more

$207.00+23.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#38 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.16%
Stop $193.62Target $257.75(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$280.16+35.3%33 analysts
$257.75our TP
$207.00price
$280.16mean
$450

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $207.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — HubSpot, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)110.2
P/E (Fwd)13.3
Mkt Cap$10.7B
EV/EBITDA104.8
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.59bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$1020+392.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Ron Gill to resign as director effective June 30, 2026; no disagreement cited. Mike Berry appointed as new Class III director effective April 1, 2026, joining Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
3.7
Growth Rank
7.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Gap
4.0
Support Resistance
5.7
Bollinger
5.9
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $173.25Resistance $255.00

Price Targets

$194
$258
A.Upside+24.5%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $207.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $193.62. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $257.75 (+23.8% upside). Prior stop was $193.62. Stop-loss: $193.62.

What are the risks of investing in HUBS?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HUBS overvalued or undervalued?

HubSpot, Inc. trades at a P/E of 110.2 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HUBS?

42 analysts cover HUBS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $280.

What does HubSpot, Inc. do?HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for marketing, sales, and service teams, targeting mid-market B2B...

HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for marketing, sales, and service teams, targeting mid-market B2B companies globally. The company sells primarily via subscription, generating $3.1B in 2025 revenue from 288,706 customers in 135+ countries. Solutions Partners referred approximately 49% of 2025 revenue, creating channel concentration.

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