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HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $219.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for B2B mid-market companies including marketing, sales, service, operations, and commerce software. Subscription-based revenue reached $3.1B in 2025 with net income of $45.9M; as of Dec 31, 2025 the company had 288,706 customers... Read more

$219.37+44.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#25 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $203.60Target $317.13(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$344.71+57.1%33 analysts
$317.13our TP
$219.37price
$344.71mean
$625

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $219.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)264.2
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$11.7B
EV/EBITDA342.2
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE2.3%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV104%elevated
Max Pain$120-45.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Ron Gill resigned as director effective June 30, 2026 (no disagreement). Mike Berry appointed Class III director effective April 1, 2026, joining Audit Committee and becoming Chair upon Gill's resignation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
6.5
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $187.45Resistance $248.85

Price Targets

$204
$317
A.Upside+44.6%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $219.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $317.13 (+44.6%), stop $203.60 (−7.7%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $317.13 (+44.9% upside). Target $317.13 (+44.6%), stop $203.60 (−7.7%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $203.60.

What are the risks of investing in HUBS?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HUBS overvalued or undervalued?

HubSpot, Inc. trades at a P/E of 264.2 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HUBS?

42 analysts cover HUBS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $345.

What does HubSpot, Inc. do?HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for B2B mid-market companies including marketing, sales, service,...

HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for B2B mid-market companies including marketing, sales, service, operations, and commerce software. Subscription-based revenue reached $3.1B in 2025 with net income of $45.9M; as of Dec 31, 2025 the company had 288,706 customers across 135+ countries and 8,882 employees.

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