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HIMXHimax Technologies, Inc.Sell5.2·$10.44
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Himax screens below the minimum quality threshold with free cash flow running negative at roughly -57% of net income, revenue declining approximately 8%, and no competitive moat identified; despite a recent earnings beat streak and a favorable technical position above the 200-day moving average, the fundamental picture lacks the earnings quality or growth trajectory to support a constructive thesis at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue In Active Decline→Stable
  • No Moat Quality Below Floor↑Improving
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red Flag→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Himax Technologies, Inc. (HIMX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.44: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 13.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Himax Technologies, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, provides display imaging processing technologies in China, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, the United States, Mexico, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Driver IC and Non-Driver Products. The company provides... Read more

$10.44+145.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#42 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-4.61%
IncomeYield2.42%(5y avg 4.35%)Payout119.43%at-risk
Stop $9.83Analyst target $25.67(−15% haircut)A.R:R 13.1:1
Analyst consensus$30.20+189.3%2 analysts with price targets
$25.67Analyst target
$10.44price
$30.20mean
$43

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.44: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 13.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d and cycle peak fwd=8.0x,ratio=0.16x. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Semi cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.0× (below 10) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.30). EPS just expanded off a trough — likely peak cyclical earnings.
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.7
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA34.9
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta2.51
Dividend2.42%
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV102%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
6.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.0
Roe
1.4
Net Margin
2.1
Gross Margin
2.2
Operating Margin
4.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.6
Piotroski F
10.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -238% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dCYCLE PEAK fwd=8.0x,ratio=0.16xA.R:R 13.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.13Resistance $13.80

Price Targets

$10
$26
A.Upside+145.9%
A.R:R13.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HIMX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.44: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 13.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.83. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HIMX stock price target?

Analyst target: $25.67 (+145.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.83. Stop-loss: $9.83.

What are the risks of investing in HIMX?

Semi cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.0× (below 10) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.30). EPS just expanded off a trough — likely peak cyclical earnings.; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is HIMX overvalued or undervalued?

Himax Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.7 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HIMX?

10 analysts rate HIMX, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $30.

What does Himax Technologies, Inc. do?Himax Technologies, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, provides display imaging processing technologies in China,...

Himax Technologies, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, provides display imaging processing technologies in China, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, the United States, Mexico, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Driver IC and Non-Driver Products. The company provides display driver integrated circuits (ICs) and timing controllers that are used in televisions, PC monitors, laptops, mobile phones, tablets, automotive, ePaper devices, industrial displays, and other products. It also offers automotive IC solutions, including traditional driver ICs; advanced in-cell touch and display driver integration; local dimming timing controllers; large touch and display driver integration; and OLED technologies. In addition, the company provides Power IC, touch controllers IC, OLED ICs, LED drivers, EPD ICs, power management ICs, and complementary metal oxide semiconductor image sensors for display application coverage; and ultralow power WiseEye smart image sensing products, as well as wafer level optics, LCoS microdisplays, and 3D sensing solutions. It markets its display drivers to panel manufacturers, mobile device module manufacturers, and manufacturers of end-use products. Himax Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.

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