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HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.Hold5.9·$14.79+1.51%
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Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM segment (85.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hayward Holdings designs and manufactures pool equipment—including pumps, filters, heaters, robotic cleaners, and IoT automation—sold globally with approximately 85% of net sales in North America. Pool Corporation represents approximately 33% of net sales; aftermarket repair and... Read more

$14.79+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.01%
Stop $13.99Target $15.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$17.31+17.1%8 analysts
$15.06our TP
$14.79price
$17.31mean
$20

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM segment (85.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM segment (85.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn14.0%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth11.5%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.00bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$17+14.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerPool Corporation33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest customer, Pool Corporation, which represented approximately 33% of our net sales in Fiscal Year 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicNAM segment85%
    10-K Item 1: 'NAM and E&RW accounted for approximately 85% and 15% of total net sales, respectively'
  • LOWCustomeranother customer12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Another customer accounted for 12% of our net sales in Fiscal Year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
6.7
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.93Resistance $15.12

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAYW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM segment (85.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $15.06 (+1.8%), stop $13.99 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAYW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.06 (+1.8% upside). Target $15.06 (+1.8%), stop $13.99 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $13.99.

What are the risks of investing in HAYW?

Concentration risk — Geographic: NAM segment (85.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HAYW overvalued or undervalued?

Hayward Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HAYW?

15 analysts cover HAYW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Hayward Holdings, Inc. do?Hayward Holdings designs and manufactures pool equipment—including pumps, filters, heaters, robotic cleaners, and IoT...

Hayward Holdings designs and manufactures pool equipment—including pumps, filters, heaters, robotic cleaners, and IoT automation—sold globally with approximately 85% of net sales in North America. Pool Corporation represents approximately 33% of net sales; aftermarket repair and replacement products account for roughly 85% of total sales.

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