Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Pool Corporation (33.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Hayward designs and manufactures pool equipment (variable-speed pumps, filters, cleaners, heaters, LED lights, IoT-connected controls) for residential and commercial pools globally. NAM segment (85% of net sales) and E&RW segment (15%) sell primarily through distributors;... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Pool Corporation (33.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Hayward Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- Hayward Holdings, Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:HAYW) 2026-04-29 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- Hayward (NYSE:HAYW) Reports Upbeat Q1 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- Hayward Holdings (HAYW) upgraded to strong buy: What does it mean for the stock? - MSN — MSN positive
- Earnings Flash (HAYW) Hayward Holdings, Inc. Posts Q1 Adjusted EPS $0.13 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.11 - marketscr — marketscreener.com positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerPool Corporation33%10-K Item 1A: 'our largest customer, Pool Corporation, which represented approximately 33% of our net sales in Fiscal Year 2025 and approximately 46% of our accounts receivable as of December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Pool Corporation (33.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $12.61. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.98 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.61. Stop-loss: $12.61.
Concentration risk — Customer: Pool Corporation (33.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.
Hayward Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover HAYW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.
What does Hayward Holdings, Inc. do?Hayward designs and manufactures pool equipment (variable-speed pumps, filters, cleaners, heaters, LED lights,...
Hayward designs and manufactures pool equipment (variable-speed pumps, filters, cleaners, heaters, LED lights, IoT-connected controls) for residential and commercial pools globally. NAM segment (85% of net sales) and E&RW segment (15%) sell primarily through distributors; aftermarket replacement/upgrade represents approximately 85% of net sales. Pool Corporation represents approximately 33% of net sales.