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POWLPowell Industries, Inc.Sell4.8·$296.50-2.32%
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Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $296.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control equipment—switchgear, motor control centers, and power control rooms—for oil/gas (37%), electric utility (25%), commercial/industrial (16%), and petrochemical (14%)... Read more

$296.50+4.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#15 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.29%
IncomeYield0.12%(5y avg 1.91%)Payout6.98%sustainable
Stop $272.21Target $305.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$316.25+6.7%4 analysts
$305.56our TP
$296.50price
$316.25mean
$252
$360

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $296.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Powell Industries, Inc.

About Powell Industries, Inc.

Powell Industries entered fiscal year 2026 with a $1.4 billion backlog at September 30, 2025, of which approximately $824 million is expected to convert to revenue during fiscal year 2026. Oil and gas represented 37% of FY2025 revenue and electric utility represented 25%, with petrochemical at 14% and commercial and other industrial at 16%. The company employs 3,143 full-time staff primarily in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

Powell generates revenue through custom-engineered products — including power control room substations, switchgear, motor control centers, and bus duct systems — sold directly to end users or to engineering, procurement, and construction firms acting on behalf of end users. All projects are competitively bid and typically non-recurring, creating revenue volatility; from time to time a single contract may account for a significant share of a given period's revenue. Material costs represented 45% of revenues in FY2025, driven by steel, copper, and aluminum inputs as well as engineered electrical components. The company competes against ABB, Eaton, Schneider, and Siemens Industries, which have substantially greater global resources. Supply for certain key components comes from a limited number of suppliers — in some instances a single supplier — which could expose the company to delivery delays and potential liquidated damages. International revenues represented approximately 20% of consolidated revenues in FY2025, primarily from UK and Canada operations.

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Single-source component reliance is the most acute supply risk for Powell: the 10-K notes that switching a sole-sourced component requires design changes and supplier qualification efforts that could be significant in time and cost, and that a supply disruption could result in liquidated damages from customers before an alternative is secured. Powell's announced $12.4 million expansion of the Jacintoport manufacturing facility — targeting a 62% increase in Power Control Room laydown capacity and doubling the shoreline bulkhead to 1,150 feet — indicates management is prioritizing throughput capacity ahead of supply-side uncertainties.

See also: Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

From Powell Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.2
P/E (Fwd)44.2
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA45.4
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE29.9%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.12%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$95-68.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomeroil and gas, petrochemical
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have a significant concentration of customers in the oil and gas, petrochemical and electric utility industries'
  • LOWGeographicoutside of the United States20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues associated with projects located outside of the United States, including revenues generated from our operations in the U.K. and Canada, accounted for approximately 20% of our consolidated revenues in Fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.0
Forward Pe
2.6
Peg Ratio
3.5
Ps
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 44.2xPEG: 3.35Expensive valuation

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $250.22Resistance $311.80

Price Targets

$272
$306
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $296.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $272.21. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POWL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $305.56 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $272.21. Stop-loss: $272.21.

What are the risks of investing in POWL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Expensive valuation.

Is POWL overvalued or undervalued?

Powell Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 59.2 (forward 44.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWL?

12 analysts cover POWL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $316.

What does Powell Industries, Inc. do?Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control...

Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control equipment—switchgear, motor control centers, and power control rooms—for oil/gas (37%), electric utility (25%), commercial/industrial (16%), and petrochemical (14%) markets. Backlog was $1.4 billion at September 30, 2025; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: HAYW (Hayward Holdings, Inc.) · AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc) · AYI (Acuity Inc.) · TE (T1 Energy Inc.) · HUBB (Hubbell Inc)
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