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Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $263.00 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control equipment—switchgear, motor control centers, and power control rooms—for oil/gas (37%), electric utility (25%), commercial/industrial (16%), and petrochemical (14%)... Read more

$263.00+0.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#16 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.46%
IncomeYield0.13%(5y avg 1.96%)Payout6.98%sustainable
Stop $248.12Target $268.81(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$316.25+20.2%4 analysts
$268.81our TP
$263.00price
$316.25mean
$252
$360

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $263.00 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val3.1Qual7.3Grw2.9Mom3.4Sent6.4Ins3.4Peer4.7Tech6.3Risk4.04.6OVERALL

Recent Developments — Powell Industries, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 4.6/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.1
P/E (Fwd)38.8
Mkt Cap$9.7B
EV/EBITDA39.6
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE29.9%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta1.14
Dividend0.13%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$95-63.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomeroil and gas, petrochemical
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have a significant concentration of customers in the oil and gas, petrochemical and electric utility industries'
  • LOWGeographicoutside of the United States20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues associated with projects located outside of the United States, including revenues generated from our operations in the U.K. and Canada, accounted for approximately 20% of our consolidated revenues in Fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
4.1

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.4
Forward Pe
2.8
Peg Ratio
3.0
Ps
4.4
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 38.8xPEG: 4.14

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
4.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $237.50Resistance $328.00

Price Targets

$248
$269
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $263.00 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $248.12. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POWL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $268.81 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $248.12. Stop-loss: $248.12.

What are the risks of investing in POWL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Is POWL overvalued or undervalued?

Powell Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.1 (forward 38.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWL?

13 analysts cover POWL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $316.

What does Powell Industries, Inc. do?Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control...

Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control equipment—switchgear, motor control centers, and power control rooms—for oil/gas (37%), electric utility (25%), commercial/industrial (16%), and petrochemical (14%) markets. Backlog was $1.4 billion at September 30, 2025; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues in fiscal 2025.

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