Skip to main content

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1147.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

The Grainger Edge Grainger's strategic framework, the Grainger Edge®, uniquely defines the Company by asserting why it exists, how it serves customers and how team members work together to achieve its objectives. Grainger's purpose is We Keep The World Working®, which in turn... Read more

$1147.88+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 17 Industrial Distribution
Stop $1102.37Target $1159.35(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$1163.47+1.4%15 analysts
$1159.35our TP
$1147.88price
$1163.47mean
$930
$1342

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1147.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.4
P/E (Fwd)23.6
Mkt Cap$54.2B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE46.1%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta1.09
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1070.42Resistance $1183.01

Price Targets

$1102
$1159
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GWW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1147.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $1102.37. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GWW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1159.35 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $1102.37. Stop-loss: $1102.37.

What are the risks of investing in GWW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GWW overvalued or undervalued?

W.W. Grainger, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.4 (forward 23.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GWW?

24 analysts cover GWW with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $1163.

What does W.W. Grainger, Inc. do?The Grainger Edge Grainger's strategic framework, the Grainger Edge®, uniquely defines the Company by asserting why it...

The Grainger Edge Grainger's strategic framework, the Grainger Edge®, uniquely defines the Company by asserting why it exists, how it serves customers and how team members work together to achieve its objectives. Grainger's purpose is We Keep The World Working®, which in turn allows customers to focus on the core of their businesses and do what they do best.

Related stocks: AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies) · FERG (Ferguson Enterprises Inc.) · FAST (Fastenal Company) · REZI (Resideo Technologies, Inc.) · POOL (Pool Corporation)