Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.85 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.
Goosehead Insurance is a fast-growing independent insurance agency distributing personal lines policies through corporate agents and franchisees across the U.S., partnering with 200+ carriers. It earns commission revenue from carriers and royalty/fees from franchisees.... Read more
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.85 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of Carriers10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant portion of our commission revenues from a limited number of Carriers, the loss of which would result in additional expense and loss of market share.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-22Item 5.02LOWJohn Martin appointed as Chief Financial Officer effective April 20, 2026. No prior CFO departure described in this filing. No reason cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-08Item 5.02LOWAmendment disclosing Separation Agreement for former General Counsel John O'Connor, dated April 3, 2026. O'Connor to provide consulting through September 30, 2026. No new departure event.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUMGeneral Counsel John O'Connor left effective immediately March 30, 2026; no reason initially disclosed. Martin Ellis Thornthwaite appointed as General Counsel effective immediately as successor.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOWLouis Goldberg appointed to Goosehead Insurance Board of Directors effective February 18, 2026, also to Nominating and Governance Committee. Routine board appointment.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.85 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $58.80 (+31.3%), stop $40.42 (−10.8%), Setup A.R:R 5.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $58.80 (+38.0% upside). Target $58.80 (+31.3%), stop $40.42 (−10.8%), Setup A.R:R 5.4:1. Stop-loss: $40.42.
Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.4 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
19 analysts cover GSHD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $68.
What does Goosehead Insurance, Inc. do?Goosehead Insurance is a fast-growing independent insurance agency distributing personal lines policies through...
Goosehead Insurance is a fast-growing independent insurance agency distributing personal lines policies through corporate agents and franchisees across the U.S., partnering with 200+ carriers. It earns commission revenue from carriers and royalty/fees from franchisees. Proprietary technology drives efficiency via its quoting and service platforms.