Green Plains, Inc. (GPRE) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Chemicals
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.25: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The company produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.25: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Green Plains, Inc.
Latest news
- Stephens & Co. Maintains Overweight on Green Plains, Raises Price Target to $20 — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
- Green Plains Q1 EPS $0.42 Beats $0.06 Estimate, Sales $445.804M Miss $465.500M Estimate — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
- Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on Green Plains, Raises Price Target to $18 — benzinga Apr 22, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -25.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.25: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.36. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $18.56 (+14.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.36. Stop-loss: $15.36.
Target reached (-11.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).
Green Plains, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover GPRE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $17.
What does Green Plains, Inc. do?Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments,...
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The company produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. It is also involved in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. In addition, the company provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.