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AZZAZZ Inc.Buy Wait5.1·$152.55+1.69%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Strong technical momentum with a golden cross, volume accumulation, and best-in-class margins support a business that has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters — but the stock has reached the resistance target at $151.96 with zero remaining upside, and an unusually elevated put/call ratio suggests the options market is pricing in meaningful downside risk into the next earnings report in 22 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins And RoeStable
  • Earnings Beat CadenceStable
  • Technical Breakout MomentumStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $137.16. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $152.55. Engine's entry $137.16 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.5% YoY), High leverage (D/E 3.7).

We are a provider of hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets in North America. We have three distinct operating segments: the AZZ Metal Coatings segment, the AZZ Precoat Metals segment, and the AZZ Infrastructure Solutions segment.

$152.55+15.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#18 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.58%
IncomeYield0.64%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout7.33%sustainable
Entry $137.16(support + ATR)Stop $130.07Target $158.96(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$161.67+6.0%9 analysts
$158.96our TP
$152.55price
$161.67mean
$138
$200

Wait for pullback to $137.16. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $152.55. Engine's entry $137.16 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.5% YoY), High leverage (D/E 3.7). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 8, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.5% YoY), High leverage (D/E 3.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn19.2%
ROE26.6%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.64%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.19bearish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.8
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $134.09Resistance $162.20

Price Targets

$130
$137
$159
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-08 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AZZ stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $137.16. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $152.55. Engine's entry $137.16 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.5% YoY), High leverage (D/E 3.7). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $158.96 (+4.2%), stop $130.07 (−17.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AZZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $158.96 (+15.9% upside). Target $158.96 (+4.2%), stop $130.07 (−17.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $130.07.

What are the risks of investing in AZZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.5% YoY), High leverage (D/E 3.7).

Is AZZ overvalued or undervalued?

AZZ Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AZZ?

15 analysts cover AZZ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $162.

What does AZZ Inc. do?We are a provider of hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets in North America....

We are a provider of hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets in North America. We have three distinct operating segments: the AZZ Metal Coatings segment, the AZZ Precoat Metals segment, and the AZZ Infrastructure Solutions segment.

Related stocks: GPN (Global Payments Inc.) · CASS (Cass Information Systems, Inc) · CMPR (Cimpress PLC) · ARMK (Aramark) · DLB (Dolby Laboratories)
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