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First Advantage Corporation (FA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.74: Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

First Advantage is a global background screening and identity verification platform serving 80,000+ customers including approximately two-thirds of the Fortune 100, conducting 200 million+ screens annually across 200+ countries. Revenue is primarily earned from per-transaction... Read more

$12.74+3.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 21 Specialty Business Services
Stop $11.79Target $13.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$15.00+17.7%7 analysts
$13.05our TP
$12.74price
$15.00mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.74: Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (3.0% upside)
Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-2.7%
Rev Growth36.8%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV155%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-30Item 5.02LOW
    Bianca Stoica resigned from the Board of Directors and Compensation Committee, effective immediately January 29, 2026. Resignation not due to any disagreement with the Company, management, or Board.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
1.2
Short Interest
1.8
Debt Equity
3.8
Beta
6.3
High short interest justified: 17%High IV: 155%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Value Rank
5.7
Growth Rank
9.0
Industry growth leader

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
3.1
Support Resistance
3.1
52w Position
3.3
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.63Resistance $13.58

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (3.0% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.74: Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $11.79. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.05 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.79. Stop-loss: $11.79.

What are the risks of investing in FA?

Target reached (3.0% upside); Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0).

Is FA overvalued or undervalued?

First Advantage Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FA?

18 analysts cover FA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $15.

What does First Advantage Corporation do?First Advantage is a global background screening and identity verification platform serving 80,000+ customers including...

First Advantage is a global background screening and identity verification platform serving 80,000+ customers including approximately two-thirds of the Fortune 100, conducting 200 million+ screens annually across 200+ countries. Revenue is primarily earned from per-transaction screening fees; gross retention was approximately 96% at December 31, 2025.

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