Genie Energy has a breakout chart and cheap-looking valuation, but price has already moved 18.2% past the analyst target, revenue is falling about 5% and 95.3% of revenue comes from one retail energy business, so there is no room to add.
Thesis pillars
- Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
- Retail Energy Revenue Concentration↓Deteriorating
- Declining Revenue Trend→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 11, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 1, 2026
Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE) Stock Analysis
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Sell if holding. At $16.71, A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.4x (earnings normalizing).
Genie Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers through retail energy providers in 19 deregulated U.S. states and Washington, D.C. (Genie Retail Energy), and runs Genie Renewables (solar, community solar, energy procurement advisory,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $16.71, A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.4x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-26Recent Developments — Genie Energy Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS Genie Energy Ltd. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release — fiscal.ai Oct 23, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-26T12:08:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductGenie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue95%10-K Item 1: 'GRE’s revenue represented approximately 95.3%, 94.9% and 95.6% of our total consolidated revenue in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
- MEDIUMSupplierBP Energy Company preferred supplier agreement10-K Item 1: 'Certain of GRE's REPs are party to an Amended and Restated Preferred Supplier Agreement with BP Energy Company, or BP, through November 30, 2026.'
- LOWGeographicNew York share of GRE meters served13%10-K Item 1A: 'New York represented 12.5% of GRE’s total meters served and 11.3% of the total residential customer equivalents'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -4.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $16.71, A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.4x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.77. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $13.60 reached (−18.6% from $16.71); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $15.77. Stop-loss: $15.77.
Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.4x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Genie Energy Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 36.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GNE with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $16.
What does Genie Energy Ltd. do?Genie Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers through retail energy...
Genie Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers through retail energy providers in 19 deregulated U.S. states and Washington, D.C. (Genie Retail Energy), and runs Genie Renewables (solar, community solar, energy procurement advisory, plastic pallet recycling). Genie Retail Energy generated $478.5 million of revenue in 2025, about 95% of the total, and served 346,000 meters; monthly churn averages four to seven percent. It buys supply from BP Energy under a preferred supplier agreement.