Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Sell if holding. At $16.11, A.R:R is negative (-3.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing).
Genie Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers through retail energy providers in 19 deregulated U.S. states and Washington, D.C. (Genie Retail Energy), and runs Genie Renewables (solar, community solar, energy procurement advisory,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $16.11, A.R:R is negative (-3.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductGenie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue95%10-K Item 1: 'GRE’s revenue represented approximately 95.3%, 94.9% and 95.6% of our total consolidated revenue in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
- MEDIUMSupplierBP Energy Company preferred supplier agreement10-K Item 1: 'Certain of GRE's REPs are party to an Amended and Restated Preferred Supplier Agreement with BP Energy Company, or BP, through November 30, 2026.'
- LOWGeographicNew York share of GRE meters served13%10-K Item 1A: 'New York represented 12.5% of GRE’s total meters served and 11.3% of the total residential customer equivalents'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $16.11, A.R:R is negative (-3.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.35. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.49 (-15.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.35. Stop-loss: $15.35.
Concentration risk — Product: Genie Retail Energy share of consolidated revenue (95.3%); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Genie Energy Ltd. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 35.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GNE with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $16.
What does Genie Energy Ltd. do?Genie Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers through retail energy...
Genie Energy supplies electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers through retail energy providers in 19 deregulated U.S. states and Washington, D.C. (Genie Retail Energy), and runs Genie Renewables (solar, community solar, energy procurement advisory, plastic pallet recycling). Genie Retail Energy generated $478.5 million of revenue in 2025, about 95% of the total, and served 346,000 meters; monthly churn averages four to seven percent. It buys supply from BP Energy under a preferred supplier agreement.