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Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Coeur Mining is a precious metals producer with silver-gold mines in Mexico (Las Chispas, Palmarejo) and gold mines in the US (Rochester NV, Kensington AK, Wharf SD). Acquired New Gold Inc. in March 2026, adding New Afton and Rainy River Canadian mines. All revenues derived from... Read more

$17.00+43.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#17 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.81%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.87%)Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $16.05Target $23.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$27.55+62.1%10 analysts
$23.97our TP
$17.00price
$27.55mean
$40

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Coeur Mining, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$18.1B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth137.8%
Beta1.24
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 23.0%
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.55Resistance $20.39

Price Targets

$16
$24
A.Upside+41.0%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.05. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.97 (+43.0% upside). Prior stop was $16.05. Stop-loss: $16.05.

What are the risks of investing in CDE?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is CDE overvalued or undervalued?

Coeur Mining, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CDE?

14 analysts cover CDE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Coeur Mining, Inc. do?Coeur Mining is a precious metals producer with silver-gold mines in Mexico (Las Chispas, Palmarejo) and gold mines in...

Coeur Mining is a precious metals producer with silver-gold mines in Mexico (Las Chispas, Palmarejo) and gold mines in the US (Rochester NV, Kensington AK, Wharf SD). Acquired New Gold Inc. in March 2026, adding New Afton and Rainy River Canadian mines. All revenues derived from gold and silver sales.

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