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GEGE AerospaceSell5.4·$297.66
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GE Aerospace combines an exceptional earnings beat track record with best-in-class margins and 25% revenue growth, but a forward P/E of 37.1 times and minimal headroom to the near-term price target leave the current setup unattractive — the business quality is not in question, the entry point is.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margin Profile→Stable
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Cadence→Stable
  • Rich Valuation Unfavorable Setup→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jan 29, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GE Aerospace (GE) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $297.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

General Electric Company, doing business as GE Aerospace, designs and produces commercial and defense aircraft engines, integrated engine components, electric power, and aircraft systems. The company operates through two segments, Commercial Engines & Services, and Defense &... Read more

$297.66+14.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#47 of 65 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.05%
IncomeYield0.63%(5y avg 0.38%)Payout20.23%sustainable
Stop $279.58Analyst target $340.59(−10% haircut)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst consensus$378.43+27.1%21 analysts
$340.59Analyst target
$297.66price
$378.43mean
$280
$431

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $297.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202784d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.0
P/E (Fwd)32.0
Mkt Cap$308.8B
EV/EBITDA27.4
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE50.2%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.63%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.56bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$195-34.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomercommercial aviation sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our business is directly tied to economic conditions in the commercial aviation sector'
  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. federal government
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our defense business is heavily influenced by the spending and policy actions of the U.S. federal government'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    At annual meeting on May 5, 2026, shareholders approved amendment to the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan and new Global Employee Stock Purchase Plan, elected all director nominees, approved Say on Pay, and ratified Deloitte & Touche as auditor for 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.4
Forward Pe
3.6
Pe
3.8
Analyst Target
6.0
Ps
6.3
Forward P/E: 32.0xPEG: 3.42
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $278.37Resistance $321.17

Price Targets

$280
$341
A.Upside+14.4%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $297.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $279.58. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GE stock price target?

Analyst target: $340.59 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $279.58. Stop-loss: $279.58.

What are the risks of investing in GE?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Expensive valuation.

Is GE overvalued or undervalued?

GE Aerospace trades at a P/E of 34.0 (forward 32.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GE?

32 analysts cover GE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $378.

What does GE Aerospace do?General Electric Company, doing business as GE Aerospace, designs and produces commercial and defense aircraft engines,...

General Electric Company, doing business as GE Aerospace, designs and produces commercial and defense aircraft engines, integrated engine components, electric power, and aircraft systems. The company operates through two segments, Commercial Engines & Services, and Defense & Propulsion Technologies. The Commercial Engines & Services segment designs, develops, manufactures, maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services of jet engines and sale of spare parts for commercial airframes, business aviation, and aeroderivative applications. The Defense & Propulsion Technologies designs, develops, manufactures, and services jet engines and avionics and power systems for governments, militaries, and commercial airframers, as well as MRO of engines and the sale of spare parts. This segment also offers aircraft components and systems, such as small turboprop engines, aeroengine mechanical transmissions, turbines, combustors and controls, additive manufacturing, propeller systems, ignition systems, sensors and engine accessories for fixed wing and rotorcraft applications for commercial and military end users under the Avio Aero, Unison, Dowty Propellers, and Colibrium Additive brands. The company operates in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. General Electric Company was incorporated in 1892 and is based in Evendale, Ohio.

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