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GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationSell5.5·$361.46+0.34%
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General Dynamics Corporation (GD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $361.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%).

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets, Jet Aviation), Marine Systems (nuclear submarines, destroyers), Combat Systems (Abrams tanks, Stryker vehicles), and Technologies (GDIT IT services, Mission... Read more

$361.46-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#22 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.43%
IncomeYield1.77%(5y avg 2.05%)Payout38.33%sustainable
Stop $346.35Target $356.55(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$393.17+8.8%21 analysts
$356.55our TP
$361.46price
$393.17mean
$313
$444

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $361.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About General Dynamics Corporation

About General Dynamics Corporation

Marine Systems was 32% of General Dynamics' 2025 consolidated revenue ($16.7 billion), driven primarily by nuclear-powered submarine construction, while Aerospace contributed 25% ($13.1 billion) including the G800 entering service after FAA certification in April 2025. Combat Systems added 17% from armored vehicles and munitions, and Technologies rounded out the four-segment portfolio. Approximately 70% of 2025 consolidated revenue was derived from the U.S. government, and the Columbia-class ballistic-missile submarine program carries a Navy program-of-record value exceeding $125 billion.

General Dynamics earns revenue through long-cycle government contracts supplemented by commercial aerospace sales. Marine Systems—anchored by Electric Boat (prime contractor for Navy nuclear submarines), Bath Iron Works (DDG-51 destroyers), and NASSCO (auxiliary ships)—converts backlog under multi-year, multi-boat block contracts; 14 Virginia-class submarines are scheduled for delivery through 2034, and the first Columbia-class submarine targets delivery in 2028. Gulfstream in the Aerospace segment sells large-cabin jets to corporate, individual, and government buyers; the G700 entered service in 2024 and the G400 is in development. Technologies provides IT solutions and mission-support services to the Department of Defense, intelligence community, and federal civilian agencies. Combat Systems supplies the Abrams tank and Stryker vehicle to the U.S. Army and allies including Canada, the United Kingdom, and Germany. The 10-K notes that certain segments sometimes rely on only one or two sources of supply, with semiconductors cited as an example that could disrupt multi-year contract performance.

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Revenue visibility across the defense segments depends on annual Congressional appropriations; multi-year contracts remain subject to funding changes in subsequent fiscal years, and the U.S. government retains termination-for-convenience rights. The Columbia-class program—12 boats spanning approximately two decades of production—is rated at the highest possible level under the Defense Priorities and Allocations System and targets first delivery in 2028. Marine Systems revenue grew from $12.5 billion in fiscal 2023 to $16.7 billion in 2025, with 14 Virginia-class submarines in backlog through 2034.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From General Dynamics Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$97.4B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.34
Dividend1.77%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.11bearish
IV33%normal
Max Pain$125-65.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 70% of our consolidated revenue was from the U.S. government.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $334.01Resistance $363.83

Price Targets

$346
$357
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $361.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $346.35. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $356.55 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $346.35. Stop-loss: $346.35.

What are the risks of investing in GD?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Is GD overvalued or undervalued?

General Dynamics Corporation trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GD?

33 analysts cover GD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $393.

What does General Dynamics Corporation do?General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets, Jet...

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets, Jet Aviation), Marine Systems (nuclear submarines, destroyers), Combat Systems (Abrams tanks, Stryker vehicles), and Technologies (GDIT IT services, Mission Systems). Approximately 70% of consolidated revenue came from the U.S. government in 2025.

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