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General Dynamics Corporation (GD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $342.37, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%).

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets), Marine Systems (U.S. Navy ships and submarines), Combat Systems (land vehicles and munitions), and Technologies (IT and mission systems). Revenue is approximately... Read more

$342.37+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#25 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $324.35Target $353.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$393.07+14.8%21 analysts
$353.77our TP
$342.37price
$393.07mean
$327
$444

Sell if holding. At $342.37, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.4%
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$91.7B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth7.8%
Beta0.39
Dividend1.80%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV35%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 70% of our consolidated revenue was from the U.S. government.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.1
Revenue Growth
4.4
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $306.77Resistance $351.27

Price Targets

$324
$354
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $342.37, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $324.35. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $353.77 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $324.35. Stop-loss: $324.35.

What are the risks of investing in GD?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Weak growth.

Is GD overvalued or undervalued?

General Dynamics Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GD?

33 analysts cover GD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $393.

What does General Dynamics Corporation do?General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets),...

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets), Marine Systems (U.S. Navy ships and submarines), Combat Systems (land vehicles and munitions), and Technologies (IT and mission systems). Revenue is approximately 70% from the U.S. government.

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