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Liberty Media Corporation - Ser (FWONK) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $90.44: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Liberty Media Corporation holds the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship (via Delta Topco/Formula 1) and MotoGP, with operations headquartered in the UK and Spain. Revenue derives from race promotion (26.7%), media rights (31.3%), and sponsorship (21.7%); Formula... Read more

$90.44+14.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#18 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.90%
Stop $84.64Target $103.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$114.75+26.9%16 analysts
$103.28our TP
$90.44price
$114.75mean
$135

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $90.44: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Val3.9Qual4.7Grw3.5Mom5.3Sent7.1Ins5.0Peer4.4Tech5.1Risk6.24.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Liberty Media Corporation - Ser

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.3
P/E (Fwd)41.9
Mkt Cap$22.5B
EV/EBITDA31.6
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$75-17.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'The FIA may terminate the 100-Year Agreements... Termination of the 100-Year Agreements could cause Formula 1 to discontinue its operations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 5, 2026, Liberty Media announced Renee L. Wilm will transition from Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Liberty Media, Liberty Live Holdings, and Liberty Broadband to Senior Advisor, effective later in 2026. No successor CLO/CAO named for Liberty Media.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.1

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
2.7
Pe
3.1
Analyst Target
6.0
Ps
6.4
Forward P/E: 41.9x
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $84.26Resistance $96.02

Price Targets

$85
$103
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$115

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FWONK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $90.44: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $84.64. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the FWONK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.28 (+14.2% upside). Prior stop was $84.64. Stop-loss: $84.64.

What are the risks of investing in FWONK?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: FIA; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is FWONK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 39.3 (forward 41.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FWONK?

18 analysts cover FWONK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Liberty Media Corporation - Ser do?Liberty Media Corporation holds the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship (via Delta Topco/Formula 1) and...

Liberty Media Corporation holds the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship (via Delta Topco/Formula 1) and MotoGP, with operations headquartered in the UK and Spain. Revenue derives from race promotion (26.7%), media rights (31.3%), and sponsorship (21.7%); Formula 1's license from the FIA runs until 2110 and is critical to all operations.

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