Skip to main content
FWONKLiberty Media Corporation - SerHold6.0·$90.50+0.51%
Open full analysis

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser (FWONK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Liberty Media Corporation owns the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship and the MotoGP Championship, staging 24 Formula 1 Events across 21 countries in 2025 with viewership across approximately 200 territories. Revenue flows from media rights (31.3% of Formula 1... Read more

$90.50+15.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.90%
Stop $84.33Target $103.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$114.56+26.6%16 analysts
$103.11our TP
$90.50price
$114.56mean
$135

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Liberty Media Corporation - Ser

About Liberty Media Corporation - Ser

Exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship—covering 24 events in 21 countries, drawing hundreds of millions of television viewers across approximately 200 territories in 2025, with peak live race-weekend crowds exceeding 450,000—anchor Liberty Media Corporation's portfolio alongside the MotoGP Championship. Formula 1's principal 2025 revenue segments were media rights (31.3% of total revenue), race promotion (26.7%), and sponsorship (21.7%), all operating under multi-year contracts with annual fee escalators. Both motorsport championships are headquartered primarily in the United Kingdom and Spain.

Formula 1 sells broadcast rights under Television Rights Agreements typically lasting three to five years, reaching broadcasters including ESPN (U.S. and Latin America), Sky (UK, Germany, Italy), Canal+ (France), DAZN (Spain), and beIN Sports (Asia and MENA), among more than 50 agreements worldwide. Race promoters stage events under three-to-seven year contracts with annual escalators tied to CPI or fixed percentages up to 5% per year; the Las Vegas Grand Prix is directly promoted by Formula 1, which retains ticket and commercial revenue. Sponsorship arrangements covering global partner status, official supplier designations, and trackside packages typically run three to five years. The 2026 Concorde Agreement, finalized in 2025, commits all Formula 1 Teams through the 2030 season and establishes the Prize Fund as a percentage of Formula 1's Prize Fund Adjusted EBIT, including a heritage payment to Ferrari. MotoGP, acquired in 2023, adds additional race promotion, broadcast, and sponsorship revenues.

Show full overview

Formula 1's entire commercial operation rests on the 100-Year Agreements with the FIA, granting an exclusive license effective January 1, 2011 through December 31, 2110. The FIA may terminate this license upon an unpermitted change of control or material breach—a termination the filing states could cause Formula 1 to discontinue its operations and lead to the termination of substantially all of Formula 1's commercial contracts. Liberty Media obtained FIA approval of its 2017 acquisition under these agreements, but any future change of control that lacks FIA pre-approval could trigger termination regardless of operational performance.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From Liberty Media Corporation - Ser's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.3
P/E (Fwd)42.3
Mkt Cap$22.6B
EV/EBITDA31.4
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth59.1%
Beta0.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.21bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$75-17.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $85.13Resistance $92.72

Price Targets

$84
$103
A.Upside+13.9%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$115

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FWONK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $103.11 (+13.9%), stop $84.33 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FWONK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.11 (+15.0% upside). Target $103.11 (+13.9%), stop $84.33 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $84.33.

What are the risks of investing in FWONK?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is FWONK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 39.3 (forward 42.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FWONK?

18 analysts cover FWONK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Liberty Media Corporation - Ser do?Liberty Media Corporation owns the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship and the MotoGP Championship,...

Liberty Media Corporation owns the exclusive commercial rights to the F1 Championship and the MotoGP Championship, staging 24 Formula 1 Events across 21 countries in 2025 with viewership across approximately 200 territories. Revenue flows from media rights (31.3% of Formula 1 total revenue in 2025), race promotion (26.7%), and sponsorship (21.7%), all under multi-year contracts with annual fee escalators.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · NWSA (News Corporation) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) · NWS (News Corporation)
Home Stocks FWONK

Latest news

Latest News

Business Insider42d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat43d ago
MarketBeat43d ago
AD HOC NEWS48d agoEarnings
MarketBeat48d agoEarnings
富途牛牛46d agoEarnings
MarketBeat44d ago
MarketBeat44d ago
Moomoo47d agoAnalyst
Benzinga19d agoAnalyst
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga63d agoAnalyst
Benzinga71d agoAnalyst
Benzinga72d ago