Liberty Media Corporation - Ser (FWONK) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FWONK stock price target?

Take-profit $102.77 (+20.7% upside). Prior stop was $81.73.

Q: Is FWONK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 36.8 (forward 40.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about FWONK?

18 analysts cover FWONK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $114.

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $85.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Liberty Media operates Formula 1 (through Delta Topco) and MotoGP, engaged in motorsport and live entertainment globally with operations headquartered in the UK and Spain. Revenue from race promotion, media rights, and sponsorship depends on the continued popularity of the F1... Read more

$85.12+20.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 27 Entertainment

Stop $81.73Target $102.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.0:1

Analyst target$114.19+34.1%16 analysts

$102.77our TP

$85.12price

$114.19mean

$135

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Analyst upside: 21%

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.8

P/E (Fwd)40.5

Mkt Cap$21.3B

EV/EBITDA26.2

Profit Mgn12.4%

ROE7.7%

Rev Growth—

Beta0.74

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C8.96bearish

IV48%normal

Max Pain$150+76.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProduct100-Year Agreements
10-K Item 1A: 'The license under the 100-Year Agreements is critical to the ongoing operation of Formula 1's business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
Renee L. Wilm to transition from Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer to Senior Advisor effective later in 2026; will continue as CLO of GCI Liberty, Inc. No reason cited beyond transition.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.515%0.67

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum1.610%0.16

Sentiment7.710%0.77

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.910%0.49

Technical Setup7.95%0.40

Risk Profile6.05%0.30

Catalyst6.45%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)5.13

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Volume

2.4

Rsi

3.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate

RSI

32 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $84.26Resistance $92.31

Price Targets

$82

$103

A.Upside+20.7%

A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FWONK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $85.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $81.73. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FWONK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.77 (+20.7% upside). Prior stop was $81.73. Stop-loss: $81.73.

What are the risks of investing in FWONK?

Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is FWONK overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 36.8 (forward 40.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FWONK?

18 analysts cover FWONK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Liberty Media Corporation - Ser do?Liberty Media operates Formula 1 (through Delta Topco) and MotoGP, engaged in motorsport and live entertainment...