Liberty Media Corporation - Ser (FWONA) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FWONA stock price target?

Take-profit $93.81 (+19.3% upside). Target $93.81 (+19.3%), stop $75.19 (−4.6%), A.R:R 3.9:1.

Q: Is FWONA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 33.9 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about FWONA?

18 analysts cover FWONA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $108.

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Liberty Media operates Formula 1 (through Delta Topco) and MotoGP, engaged in motorsport and live entertainment globally with operations headquartered in the UK and Spain. Revenue from race promotion, media rights, and sponsorship depends on the continued popularity of the F1... Read more

$78.62+19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 27 Entertainment

Stop $75.19Target $93.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.9:1

Analyst target$107.83+37.2%6 analysts

$93.81our TP

$78.62price

$107.83mean

$115

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Strong growth profile

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.9

P/E (Fwd)25.5

Mkt Cap$19.6B

EV/EBITDA24.5

Profit Mgn12.4%

ROE7.7%

Rev Growth—

Beta0.74

DividendNone

Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProduct100-Year Agreements
10-K Item 1A: 'The license under the 100-Year Agreements is critical to the ongoing operation of Formula 1's business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
Renee L. Wilm to transition from Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer to Senior Advisor effective later in 2026; will continue as CLO of GCI Liberty, Inc. No reason cited beyond transition.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.615%0.84

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth8.615%1.29

Momentum1.110%0.11

Sentiment7.310%0.73

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.110%0.51

Technical Setup7.85%0.39

Risk Profile6.65%0.33

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)5.80

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Rsi

3.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate

RSI

34 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $77.52Resistance $84.36

Price Targets

$75

$94

A.Upside+19.3%

A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FWONA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $93.81 (+19.3%), stop $75.19 (−4.6%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FWONA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.81 (+19.3% upside). Target $93.81 (+19.3%), stop $75.19 (−4.6%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Stop-loss: $75.19.

What are the risks of investing in FWONA?

Concentration risk — Product: 100-Year Agreements; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is FWONA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Media Corporation - Ser trades at a P/E of 33.9 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FWONA?

18 analysts cover FWONA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Liberty Media Corporation - Ser do?Liberty Media operates Formula 1 (through Delta Topco) and MotoGP, engaged in motorsport and live entertainment...