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FRBTForbright, Inc.Sell5.3·$17.01
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Forbright screens cheap on a forward basis with modestly positive insider activity, but it's showing technical capitulation risk, a thin risk/reward setup that missed the engine's asymmetry bar, and negative news sentiment -- a name flagged for multiple concerning factors.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Cheap Forward Valuation↑Improving
  • Technical Capitulation Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Thin Asymmetry Below Bar→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Forbright, Inc. (FRBT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.01 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for consumers and businesses in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other account and branch banking... Read more

$17.01+17.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $16.39Target $19.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$22.92+34.7%6 analysts
$19.94our TP
$17.01price
$22.92mean
$24

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.01 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-29

Recent Developments — Forbright, Inc.

Generated 2026-09-29T16:47:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$868M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth14.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.90Resistance $19.44

Price Targets

$16
$20
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRBT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.01 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.39. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.94 (+17.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.39. Stop-loss: $16.39.

What are the risks of investing in FRBT?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is FRBT overvalued or undervalued?

Forbright, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FRBT?

11 analysts cover FRBT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Forbright, Inc. do?Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for...

Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for consumers and businesses in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other account and branch banking services; checking and money markets, large deposits, order checks, and individual retirement account; and asset, corporate, fund, healthcare, lender, and real estate financing services, as well as credit cards. It also provides middle market lending, digital consumer banking, strategic advisory, and asset management services. Forbright, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Chevy Chase, Maryland.

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