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FRBTForbright, Inc.Hold5.4·$17.01
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Forbright is an attractively valued small-cap bank (forward P/E 7.9x) with strong reported margins and positive news sentiment, but a recent earnings miss, weak Piotroski score and only 10% upside to the analyst target limit the case for adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Bank Valuation↑Improving
  • Limited Reward To Risk Asymmetry→Stable
  • Strong Margins Weak Piotroski→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Forbright, Inc. (FRBT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth.

Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for consumers and businesses in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other account and branch banking... Read more

$17.01+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $16.00Analyst target $19.79(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$22.75+33.7%6 analysts
$19.79Analyst target
$17.01price
$22.75mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-18
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$864M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth14.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 11 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Volume
2.9
Macd
3.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.50Resistance $18.89

Price Targets

$16
$20
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRBT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $19.79 (+16.4%), stop $16.00 (−6.3%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRBT stock price target?

Analyst target: $19.79 (+16.4% upside). Analyst target $19.79 (+16.4%), stop $16.00 (−6.3%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $16.00.

What are the risks of investing in FRBT?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is FRBT overvalued or undervalued?

Forbright, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRBT?

11 analysts cover FRBT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Forbright, Inc. do?Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for...

Forbright, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Forbright Bank that provides various financial services for consumers and businesses in the United States. The company offers checking and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other account and branch banking services; checking and money markets, large deposits, order checks, and individual retirement account; and asset, corporate, fund, healthcare, lender, and real estate financing services, as well as credit cards. It also provides middle market lending, digital consumer banking, strategic advisory, and asset management services. Forbright, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Chevy Chase, Maryland.

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