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NTBBank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Hold5.5·$54.97
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bank of N.T. Butterfield offers attractive valuation at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3x and a PEG ratio of 0.34, with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and strong margins of 39%, but the stock has reached its analyst target and the negative asymmetry ratio leaves little room for new capital deployment.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg↑Improving
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Banking↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Margins Superior Peer Rank→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son (NTB) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $54.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products... Read more

$54.97+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield3.64%(5y avg 4.70%)Payout35.15%sustainable
Stop $53.04Analyst target $56.10(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$66.00+20.1%3 analysts with price targets
$56.10Analyst target
$54.97price
$66.00mean
$68

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $54.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:38Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 8, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn37.0%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta0.56
Dividend3.64%
Analysts with ratings7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
6.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.67%=HEAVYNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.68Resistance $60.75

Price Targets

$53
$56
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-08 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $54.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $56.10 (+2.1%), stop $53.04 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTB stock price target?

Analyst target: $56.10 (+2.1% upside). Analyst target $56.10 (+2.1%), stop $53.04 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $53.04.

What are the risks of investing in NTB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is NTB overvalued or undervalued?

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTB?

7 analysts rate NTB, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $66.

What does Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son do?The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to...

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products and services, including residential mortgage lending, automobile lending, credit cards, consumer financing, overdraft facilities to retail customers, commercial real estate lending, and commercial and industrial loans. In addition, the company offers cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, custody administration, and settlement services. Further, it provides personal and business deposit services, residential and commercial mortgages, small and medium-sized enterprise and corporate loans, credit and debit cards, merchant acquiring, and mobile and internet banking services; and treasury services, wealth management, and fiduciary services. Additionally, the company offers discretionary investment management, managed portfolio services, money market, and mutual fund offerings, as well as advisory and self-directed brokerage options. It operates through offices in the Cayman Islands, Guernsey, Jersey, the United Kingdom, The Bahamas, Hong Kong, Switzerland, Singapore, Mauritius, and Canada, as well as Bermuda. The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited was founded in 1784 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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