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NTBBank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Hold5.9·$58.95
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bank of N.T. Butterfield offers attractive valuation at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3x and a PEG ratio of 0.34, with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and strong margins of 39%, but the stock has reached its analyst target and the negative asymmetry ratio leaves little room for new capital deployment.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Banking→Stable
  • Strong Margins Superior Peer Rank→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son (NTB) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products... Read more

$58.95-7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield3.44%(5y avg 4.93%)Payout35.21%sustainable
Stop $56.83Target $60.49(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$64.00+8.6%3 analysts
$60.49our TP
$58.95price
$64.00mean
$66

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn37.5%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.49
Dividend3.44%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.85%=HEAVYMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $57.81Resistance $61.72

Price Targets

$57
$60
A.Upside-7.7%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.85%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $60.49 (+2.6%), stop $56.83 (−3.7%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.49 (-7.7% upside). Target $60.49 (+2.6%), stop $56.83 (−3.7%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $56.83.

What are the risks of investing in NTB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is NTB overvalued or undervalued?

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTB?

7 analysts cover NTB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son do?The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to...

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products and services, including residential mortgage lending, automobile lending, credit cards, consumer financing, overdraft facilities to retail customers, commercial real estate lending, and commercial and industrial loans. In addition, the company offers cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, custody administration, and settlement services. Further, it provides personal and business deposit services, residential and commercial mortgages, small and medium-sized enterprise and corporate loans, credit and debit cards, merchant acquiring, and mobile and internet banking services; and treasury services, wealth management, and fiduciary services. Additionally, the company offers discretionary investment management, managed portfolio services, money market, and mutual fund offerings, as well as advisory and self-directed brokerage options. It operates through offices in the Cayman Islands, Guernsey, Jersey, the United Kingdom, The Bahamas, Hong Kong, Switzerland, Singapore, Mauritius, and Canada, as well as Bermuda. The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited was founded in 1784 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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