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Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. (SLDE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Wait for pullback to $18.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.18. Engine's entry $18.14 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation.

Slide Insurance is a technology-enabled specialty coastal property insurer launched in 2021, operating as an admitted carrier in Florida and South Carolina through SIC and Slide Specialty subsidiaries; $1,796M gross premiums written in 2025 with a 52.1% combined ratio. Revenue... Read more

$18.18+20.7% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#2 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
Entry $18.14(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $16.60Target $21.92(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1Setup A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$25.20+38.6%5 analysts
$21.92our TP
$18.18price
$25.20mean
$31

Wait for pullback to $18.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.18. Engine's entry $18.14 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.1
P/E (Fwd)5.4
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA1.5
Profit Mgn38.9%
ROE59.7%
Rev Growth38.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$10-45.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida
    10-K Item 1A: 'reinsurance to manage our exposure to property and casualty risks, particularly catastrophic events such as hurricanes in Florida, where we conduct a significant portion of our business'
  • HIGHcounterpartyCitizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation
    10-K Item 1A: 'a substantial portion of our historical revenue has been generated from policies assumed from Citizens Property Insurance Corporation'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.21Resistance $20.17

Price Targets

$17
$18
$22
A.Upside+20.6%
A.R:R2.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLDE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.18. Engine's entry $18.14 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Target $21.92 (+20.6%), stop $16.60 (−9.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLDE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.92 (+20.7% upside). Target $21.92 (+20.6%), stop $16.60 (−9.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $16.60.

What are the risks of investing in SLDE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Counterparty: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5.

Is SLDE overvalued or undervalued?

Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 5.1 (forward 5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SLDE?

12 analysts cover SLDE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. do?Slide Insurance is a technology-enabled specialty coastal property insurer launched in 2021, operating as an admitted...

Slide Insurance is a technology-enabled specialty coastal property insurer launched in 2021, operating as an admitted carrier in Florida and South Carolina through SIC and Slide Specialty subsidiaries; $1,796M gross premiums written in 2025 with a 52.1% combined ratio. Revenue comes from homeowners and commercial residential premiums; a substantial portion of historical revenue derived from Citizens Property Insurance Corporation depopulation program assumptions. Shareholders' equity grew from $102M at end of 2021 to $1,113M at end of 2025.

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