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VINPVinci Compass Investments Ltd.Sell6.6·$9.91+0.71%
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Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. (VINP) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $9.91. Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products and Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a... Read more

$9.91+21.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#12 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield22.69%
IncomeYield6.43%Payout84.15%at-risk
Stop $9.22Target $12.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$13.88+40.1%6 analysts
$12.08our TP
$9.91price
$13.88mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $9.91. Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$649M
EV/EBITDA2.6
Profit Mgn26.0%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth17.1%
Beta0.28
Dividend6.43%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesINSIDER 0.90%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.43Resistance $10.80

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+21.9%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Insider activity: 0.90%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VINP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $9.91. Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.22. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VINP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.08 (+21.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.22. Stop-loss: $9.22.

What are the risks of investing in VINP?

Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is VINP overvalued or undervalued?

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VINP?

12 analysts cover VINP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. do?Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global...

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products and Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a network of general partners and asset managers. This segment also offers proprietary investment solutions; multi-asset allocation strategies, as well as portfolio and management services; and liquid and alternative, separate mandates, commingled funds, brokerage, pension plans, solutions, and Vinci retirement services. The Credit segment operates public and private credit, opportunistic capital solutions, and agribusiness credit businesses. The Private Equity segment focuses on control and co-control investments, and minority investments in small-to-medium enterprises. The Equities segment delivers investment solutions; and sub-strategies to address different investor profiles and market conditions, including long only, dividends, small caps, long biased, and other specialized approaches. The Real Assets segment comprises investments focused on tangible, income-generating assets through real estate, infrastructure, and forestry. The Corporate Advisory segment provides financial and strategic advisory services, focusing on IPO advisory and mergers and acquisition transactions to entrepreneurs, corporate senior management teams, and boards of directors. Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. was formerly known as Vinci Partners Investments Ltd. and changed its name to Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. in July 2025. Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

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