Skip to main content

Enova International, Inc. (ENVA) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait for pullback to $149.32. At $161.67 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $149.32 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%).

Enova International is an online consumer and small business lender operating under CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck and Headway Capital brands, extending $7.8 billion in credit in 2025 to borrowers in 37 U.S. states (consumer) and 49 states (small business), plus Brazil. Revenue... Read more

$161.67+12.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#4 of 28 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $149.32(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $139.07Target $175.74(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$202.00+24.9%7 analysts
$175.74our TP
$161.67price
$202.00mean
$210

Wait for pullback to $149.32. At $161.67 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $149.32 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.29, quality 7.9/10, growth 8.3/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Enova International, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%)
Thin upside margin: 8.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn20.7%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth25.8%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$120-25.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States98%
    10-K Item 1: 'The United States represented 97.5% of our total revenue in 2025 and 98.0% of our total revenue in 2024.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $159.61Resistance $176.02

Price Targets

$139
$149
$176
A.Upside+8.7%
A.R:R1.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENVA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $149.32. At $161.67 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $149.32 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.29, quality 7.9/10, growth 8.3/10). Target $175.74 (+8.7%), stop $139.07 (−16.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ENVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $175.74 (+12.3% upside). Target $175.74 (+8.7%), stop $139.07 (−16.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $139.07.

What are the risks of investing in ENVA?

Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%); Thin upside margin: 8.7%.

Is ENVA overvalued or undervalued?

Enova International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ENVA?

13 analysts cover ENVA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $202.

What does Enova International, Inc. do?Enova International is an online consumer and small business lender operating under CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck and...

Enova International is an online consumer and small business lender operating under CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck and Headway Capital brands, extending $7.8 billion in credit in 2025 to borrowers in 37 U.S. states (consumer) and 49 states (small business), plus Brazil. Revenue of $3.15 billion in 2025 is 97.5% U.S.-derived, generated through interest and fee income on high-yield installment loans and lines of credit.

Related stocks: SEZL (Sezzle Inc.) · ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) · CACC (Credit Acceptance Corporation) · JCAP (Jefferson Capital, Inc.) · EZPW (EZCORP, Inc.)