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ENVAEnova International, Inc.Hold6.8·$193.80+2.45%
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Enova International, Inc. (ENVA) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $193.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%).

Enova International provides online consumer and small business loans and lines of credit across 37-49 U.S. states and in Brazil, extending approximately $7.8 billion in credit in 2025 and generating $3.15 billion in revenue. Enova earns interest and fees on installment loans... Read more

$193.80+14.6% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#2 of 29 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $165.88(50-day MA)Stop $154.27Target $190.05(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$202.00+4.2%7 analysts
$190.05our TP
$193.80price
$202.00mean
$190
$210

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $193.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $193.80 has reached target $190.05. No upside to wait for. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Enova International, Inc.

About Enova International, Inc.

Enova International extended approximately $7.8 billion in credit or financing to consumers and small businesses in 2025, generating $3,151.7 million in revenue — a 23.8% compound annual growth rate since 2020. The United States accounted for 97.5% of that revenue, with consumer loans offered in 37 states and small business loans in 49 states; Brazil contributed the remaining 2.4%. The CFPB holds supervisory authority over Enova's U.S. consumer businesses, making it the primary federal regulatory counterpart across the portfolio.

Enova earns revenue through interest income and fees across four core product types. Consumer installment loans — $300 to $10,000, terms of 3 to 60 months — generated a 90% average annualized yield in 2025. Consumer lines of credit (up to $7,000) ran at a 147% average annualized yield. Small business installment loans ($5,000 to $400,000, 6-to-24-month terms) produced 48%, and small business lines of credit yielded 49%. Five separate bank partners supplied 31.6% of consolidated originations and purchases through Enova's Bank Programs as of December 31, 2025, though management does not deem there to be significant reliance on any single banking partner. The Pangea brand provides mobile money transfer from the United States to Mexico, Latin America, and Asia, earning revenue through per-transfer fees and an exchange-rate spread. Loan and finance receivables outstanding reached $4,748.0 million at December 31, 2025, up from $1,263.1 million in 2020.

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Enova's primary federal regulator for U.S. consumer products is the CFPB, which exercised authority under the Small Dollar Rule's payment-withdrawal provisions effective March 30, 2025. On March 28, 2025, the CFPB issued a press release indicating it would not prioritize enforcement of those provisions and signaled a possible rulemaking to narrow the rule's scope. The 10-K notes that if the CFPB reverses course and enforces the rule in full, it could have a material adverse impact on Enova's business. The company is also pursuing the acquisition of Grasshopper, subject to regulatory approvals that may impose conditions or delay closure.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From Enova International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn20.7%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth25.8%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$55-71.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States98%
    10-K Item 1: 'The United States represented 97.5% of our total revenue in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
0.1
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $157.39Resistance $193.93

Price Targets

$154
$166
$190
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ENVA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $193.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $193.80 has reached target $190.05. No upside to wait for. Target $190.05 (-1.9%), stop $154.27 (−25.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ENVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $190.05 (+14.6% upside). Target $190.05 (-1.9%), stop $154.27 (−25.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $154.27.

What are the risks of investing in ENVA?

Single-region cliff: 98% exposure to United States (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (97.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ENVA overvalued or undervalued?

Enova International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ENVA?

13 analysts cover ENVA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $202.

What does Enova International, Inc. do?Enova International provides online consumer and small business loans and lines of credit across 37-49 U.S. states and...

Enova International provides online consumer and small business loans and lines of credit across 37-49 U.S. states and in Brazil, extending approximately $7.8 billion in credit in 2025 and generating $3.15 billion in revenue. Enova earns interest and fees on installment loans and credit lines under brands including CashNetUSA, NetCredit, OnDeck, and Pangea.

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