Skip to main content
FNVFranco-Nevada CorporationBuy Wait6.4·$233.50+5.01%
Open full analysis

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $223.02. At $233.50 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $223.02 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. The company operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. It... Read more

$233.50+15.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#23 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.93%
IncomeYield0.79%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout22.25%sustainable
Entry $223.02(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $203.46Target $258.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1Setup A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$297.33+27.3%9 analysts
$258.68our TP
$233.50price
$297.33mean
$345

Wait for pullback to $223.02. At $233.50 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $223.02 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)23.1
Mkt Cap$42.9B
EV/EBITDA22.0
Profit Mgn65.7%
ROE19.0%
Rev Growth77.7%
Beta0.89
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$390+67.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $204.25Resistance $239.56

Price Targets

$203
$223
$259
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FNV stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $223.02. At $233.50 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $223.02 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $258.68 (+10.8%), stop $203.46 (−14.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FNV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $258.68 (+15.2% upside). Target $258.68 (+10.8%), stop $203.46 (−14.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $203.46.

Is FNV overvalued or undervalued?

Franco-Nevada Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 23.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FNV?

19 analysts cover FNV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $297.

What does Franco-Nevada Corporation do?Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central...

Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. The company operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. It also manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Franco-Nevada Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited)
Home Stocks FNV

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga1h agoCONCERNLegal
MSN21d ago
Yahoo Finance21d ago
Moomoo28d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha28d agoAnalyst
24/7 Wall St.28d agoAnalyst
MSN28d agoAnalyst
Kavout8h ago
MSN63d ago
TipRanks34d ago
The Globe and Mail34d agoEarnings
Zacks Investment Research35d ago
MarketWatch7d ago
Yahoo Finance7d ago
Newsline.com7d ago
TipRanks41d ago
MSN42d ago
TipRanks13d ago
GuruFocus14d ago
Newser29d ago
Loading more...