Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FNV stock price target?

Take-profit $266.53 (+16.5% upside). Target $266.53 (+16.2%), stop $220.93 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.8:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in FNV?

Negative momentum; Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is FNV overvalued or undervalued?

Franco-Nevada Corporation trades at a P/E of 39.7 (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about FNV?

20 analysts cover FNV with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $306.

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $229.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

$229.44+16.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#20 of 32 Gold

Stop $220.93Target $266.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1

Analyst target$306.36+33.5%9 analysts

$266.53our TP

$229.44price

$306.36mean

$354

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $229.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Strong growth profile

Risks

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.7

P/E (Fwd)22.5

Mkt Cap$44.1B

EV/EBITDA26.3

Profit Mgn61.6%

ROE16.3%

Rev Growth85.8%

Beta0.94

Dividend0.77%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral

IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.015%0.75

Quality6.915%1.03

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum2.810%0.28

Sentiment7.010%0.70

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.710%0.47

Technical Setup7.75%0.39

Risk Profile6.45%0.32

Catalyst7.45%0.37

Overall (Σ contributions)6.31

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

9.1

Oversold in uptrend (RSI 13)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

13 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $227.76Resistance $272.98

Price Targets

$221

$267

A.Upside+16.2%

A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FNV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $229.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $266.53 (+16.2%), stop $220.93 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FNV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $266.53 (+16.5% upside). Target $266.53 (+16.2%), stop $220.93 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $220.93.

What are the risks of investing in FNV?

Negative momentum.

Is FNV overvalued or undervalued?

Franco-Nevada Corporation trades at a P/E of 39.7 (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FNV?

20 analysts cover FNV with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $306.

What does Franco-Nevada Corporation do?Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central...

Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. The company operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. It also manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Franco-Nevada Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.