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FIVNFive9, Inc.Sell5.4·$24.25+3.46%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion at 475% of net income and a PEG ratio of 0.18 signal deep fundamental value in a consistently executing business, but a confirmed death cross, falling volume accumulation, and a 12% short interest create material near-term technical risk that argues for patience despite the 21% upside to analyst targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low MultipleStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Five9, Inc. (FIVN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $24.25, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%.

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through... Read more

$24.25+3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#67 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield15.15%
Stop $22.41Target $25.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$27.81+14.7%21 analysts
$25.03our TP
$24.25price
$27.81mean
$20
$47

Sell if holding. At $24.25, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Five9, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: EVP of Product Engineering Panos Kozanian will transition out effective June 29, 2026, continuing to serve through at least September 4, 2026 reporting to a new CTO to be named by end of Q2 2026; eligible for Tier 3 severance absent for-cause termination.

Generated 2026-07-07T11:41:56Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.9%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.1
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV95%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP of Product Engineering Panos Kozanian will transition out effective June 29, 2026, continuing to serve through at least September 4, 2026 reporting to a new CTO to be named by end of Q2 2026; eligible for Tier 3 severance absent for-cause termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
6.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
5.9
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.15Resistance $24.94

Price Targets

$22
$25
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $24.25, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.41. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.03 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $22.41. Stop-loss: $22.41.

What are the risks of investing in FIVN?

Thin upside margin: 3.9%.

Is FIVN overvalued or undervalued?

Five9, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.1 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIVN?

28 analysts cover FIVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Five9, Inc. do?Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than...

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through subscription licensing plus usage-based telephony and consumption-based AI solution fees, with a 105% Annual Dollar-Based Retention Rate reflecting expansion within its existing customer base.

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