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FISNDeep Fission, Inc.Sell4.8·$10.70-7.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FISN's setup is currently unresolvable on price — no current quote was returned this run — leaving the engine's edge and asymmetry gates artifactually blank, while the underlying business itself screens as cash-burning and below-average quality despite conservative peer-relative debt levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Data Issue No Price AvailableDeteriorating
  • Quality Concerns Cash BurningStable
  • Conservative Debt LevelsStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Deep Fission, Inc. (FISN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.70: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Deep Fission, Inc. is developing a small modular nuclear reactor, the Gravity Reactor, based on established pressurized water reactor technology but emplaced roughly one mile underground in deep boreholes to reduce reliance on surface containment structures. The company is... Read more

$10.70+51.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#51 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.18%
Stop $9.92Target $16.15(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$19.00+77.6%2 analysts
$16.15our TP
$10.70price
$19.00mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.70: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-24

Recent Developments — Deep Fission, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-25T09:22:35Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.5
Mkt Cap$698M
EV/EBITDA-13.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-188.5%
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts2

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 4.02HIGH
    Board concluded on April 9, 2026 that previously issued Q2 2025, FY2024 annual, and Q3 2025 interim financial statements should no longer be relied upon due to errors in valuations of SAFEs and stock-based compensation. No successor auditor or restated figures cited in the excerpt provided.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.2
Support Resistance
4.2
Bollinger
5.4
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5SEC critical: A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $7.66Resistance $12.88

Price Targets

$10
$16
A.Upside+51.4%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for FISN.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FISN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.70: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.92. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FISN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.15 (+51.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.92. Stop-loss: $9.92.

What are the risks of investing in FISN?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is FISN overvalued or undervalued?

Deep Fission, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Deep Fission, Inc. do?Deep Fission, Inc. is developing a small modular nuclear reactor, the Gravity Reactor, based on established pressurized...

Deep Fission, Inc. is developing a small modular nuclear reactor, the Gravity Reactor, based on established pressurized water reactor technology but emplaced roughly one mile underground in deep boreholes to reduce reliance on surface containment structures. The company is pre-revenue and in the development and pilot stage, participating in the U.S. Department of Energy Reactor Pilot Program at a Kansas test site, and expects future revenue from project-level equity participation, upfront deployment services, and technology licensing once reactors reach commercial deployment.

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