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FISNDeep Fission, Inc.Hold5.1·$5.38
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FISN's setup is currently unresolvable on price — no current quote was returned this run — leaving the engine's edge and asymmetry gates artifactually blank, while the underlying business itself screens as cash-burning and below-average quality despite conservative peer-relative debt levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Data Issue No Price Available—
  • Quality Concerns Cash Burning—
  • Conservative Debt Levels—
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Deep Fission, Inc. (FISN) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.60 vs price $5.38 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $317M below $400M minimum.

Deep Fission, Inc. is developing a small modular nuclear reactor, the Gravity Reactor, based on established pressurized water reactor technology but emplaced roughly one mile underground in deep boreholes to reduce reliance on surface containment structures. The company is... Read more

$5.38+60.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#50 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.66%
Stop $5.00Target $8.61(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$19.60+264.7%5 analysts
$8.61our TP
$5.38price
$19.60mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.60 vs price $5.38 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $317M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $317M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-06

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.60 vs price $5.38 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $317M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.0
Mkt Cap$317M
EV/EBITDA-3.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-256.1%
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 4.02HIGH
    Board concluded on April 9, 2026 that previously issued Q2 2025, FY2024 annual, and Q3 2025 interim financial statements should no longer be relied upon due to errors in valuations of SAFEs and stock-based compensation. No successor auditor or restated figures cited in the excerpt provided.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5SEC critical: A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $4.90Resistance $8.79

Price Targets

$5
$9
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.60 vs price $5.38 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $317M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FISN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.60 vs price $5.38 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $317M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $317M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $8.61 (+60.2%), stop $5.00 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FISN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.61 (+60.2% upside). Target $8.61 (+60.2%), stop $5.00 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $5.00.

What are the risks of investing in FISN?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $19.60 vs price $5.38 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $317M below $400M minimum.

Is FISN overvalued or undervalued?

Deep Fission, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FISN?

9 analysts cover FISN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Deep Fission, Inc. do?Deep Fission, Inc. is developing a small modular nuclear reactor, the Gravity Reactor, based on established pressurized...

Deep Fission, Inc. is developing a small modular nuclear reactor, the Gravity Reactor, based on established pressurized water reactor technology but emplaced roughly one mile underground in deep boreholes to reduce reliance on surface containment structures. The company is pre-revenue and in the development and pilot stage, participating in the U.S. Department of Energy Reactor Pilot Program at a Kansas test site, and expects future revenue from project-level equity participation, upfront deployment services, and technology licensing once reactors reach commercial deployment.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.) · KAI (Kadant Inc) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I)
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