Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. (FDP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FDP stock price target?

Take-profit $44.20 (+6.0% upside). Target $44.20 (+6.0%), stop $39.92 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.2:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in FDP?

Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is FDP overvalued or undervalued?

Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about FDP?

5 analysts cover FDP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $52.

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Fresh Del Monte Produce is a vertically integrated producer and distributor of fresh/fresh-cut fruit, vegetables and prepared foods marketed primarily under the Del Monte brand in 80+ countries; North America was 58% of 2025 net sales. Revenue is earned via three segments (Fresh... Read more

$41.68+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#3 of 7 Farm Products

Stop $39.92Target $44.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1

Analyst target$52.00+24.8%1 analysts

Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Attractive valuation

Risks

Thin upside margin: 6.0%

Near 52-week high (4.4% away)

Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1

P/E (Fwd)12.0

Mkt Cap$2.0B

EV/EBITDA9.0

Profit Mgn2.1%

ROE4.6%

Rev Growth0.6%

Beta0.28

Dividend2.89%

Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral

IV51%elevated

Max Pain$35-16.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

LOWCustomerWalmart7.0%
10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to Walmart, Inc., our largest customer, amounted to approximately 7% of our total net sales in fiscal 2025'
MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers29%
10-K Item 1A: 'our top 10 customers collectively accounted for approximately 29% of our total net sales'
LOWSupplierone grower in the Philippines13%
10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 13% of our banana net sales in 2025 were supplied by one grower in the Philippines with whom our contract is set to expire on February 28, 2026'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.715%1.30

Quality4.115%0.61

Growth6.315%0.94

Momentum2.810%0.28

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup6.25%0.31

Risk Profile7.15%0.35

Catalyst8.05%0.40

Overall (Σ contributions)5.61

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

3.6

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

5.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

48 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.64Resistance $43.02

Price Targets

$40

$44

A.Upside+6.0%

A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FDP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $44.20 (+6.0%), stop $39.92 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FDP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.20 (+6.0% upside). Target $44.20 (+6.0%), stop $39.92 (−4.4%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $39.92.

What are the risks of investing in FDP?

Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is FDP overvalued or undervalued?

Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FDP?

5 analysts cover FDP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Fresh Del Monte Produce, Inc. do?Fresh Del Monte Produce is a vertically integrated producer and distributor of fresh/fresh-cut fruit, vegetables and...