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DOLEDole plcSell6.0·$13.89-1.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Dole plc is attractively priced on a forward earnings multiple of under 10 times with a PEG ratio of 0.16, but business quality sits below the minimum acceptable threshold, no competitive moat is identified, and three of the four most recently reported quarters missed or came in at estimates; the upside to the analyst target is too thin relative to the quality risk to justify a position.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Floor Quality No MoatStable
  • Compelling Valuation Margin Of SafetyStable
  • Weak Earnings Delivery Track RecordStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dole plc (DOLE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.89: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Dole plc engages in sourcing, production, distribution, and marketing of fresh fruits and vegetables worldwide. It operates through three segments: Fresh Fruit; Diversified Fresh Produce - EMEA; and Diversified Fresh Produce - Americas and ROW. The company offers bananas,... Read more

$13.89+8.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 7 Farm Products
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.04%
IncomeYield2.42%Payout36.56%sustainable
Stop $13.21Target $15.03(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$17.69+27.3%4 analysts
$15.03our TP
$13.89price
$17.69mean
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.89: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29

Recent Developments — Dole plc

Generated 2026-06-30T02:18:55Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn0.5%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.42%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$3-82.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
1.0
Roa
2.0
Roe
2.7
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 430% FCF/NINo competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.9
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 242.0%
GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.54Resistance $14.37

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOLE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.89: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.21. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOLE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.03 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $13.21. Stop-loss: $13.21.

What are the risks of investing in DOLE?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is DOLE overvalued or undervalued?

Dole plc trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOLE?

10 analysts cover DOLE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Dole plc do?Dole plc engages in sourcing, production, distribution, and marketing of fresh fruits and vegetables worldwide. It...

Dole plc engages in sourcing, production, distribution, and marketing of fresh fruits and vegetables worldwide. It operates through three segments: Fresh Fruit; Diversified Fresh Produce - EMEA; and Diversified Fresh Produce - Americas and ROW. The company offers bananas, pineapples, and plantains; avocados, kiwis, apples, berries, and cherries; and imported and local fresh fruits and vegetables through retail, wholesale, e-commerce, and food service channels. It is also involved in the commercial cargo business. The company offers its products under the DOLE brand. It serves grocery stores, wholesalers, mass merchandisers, supercenters, foodservice operators, club stores, convenience stores, distributors, and smaller regional customers. Dole plc was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

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