Value
9.0/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.4 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.5 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.07
- ▸Attractively valued
FDP · Why this verdict
Why Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.2 |
| ROA | 2.2 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.4 |
| Net margin | 0.8 |
| Current ratio | 8.0 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 3.9 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -69% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.3 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -5%
Momentum
1.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 2.3 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 84%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $129,285 (0.009% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.4 |
| quality rank | 5.0 |
| growth rank | 1.4 |
Technical
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.8 |
| support resistance | 10.0 |
| 52w position | 3.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.3 |
| days to cover | 5.5 |
| volatility | 2.3 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 1.6 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 8.8 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.95
- ▸High IV: 70%
- ▸Above max pain $18
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 3 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 407.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:6.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:1.7<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
6.91
Upside
+56.5%
Downside
8.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:1.7<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Technical at 7.7, and Catalyst at 7.0; the weakest are Momentum at 1.7, Quality at 2.8, and Peer rank at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 6.91 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.