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Four Corners Property Trust, In (FCPT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden.

Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased primarily to operators under triple-net arrangements. As of December 31, 2025, Darden Restaurants and Brinker International represented 44.7% and 6.6% of annual... Read more

$25.32-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#16 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $24.41Target $25.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$28.11+11.0%9 analysts
$25.24our TP
$25.32price
$28.11mean
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn38.2%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.84
Dividend5.79%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenantDarden45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Darden and Brinker International, Inc. ("Brinker") constituted approximately 44.7% and 6.6%, respectively, of our annual cash base rent'
  • HIGHTenantOlive Garden
    10-K Item 1A: 'our restaurant properties include 316 Olive Garden restaurants. As a result, our success... is dependent on the continued success of the Olive Garden brand'
  • LOWGeographicTexas10%
    10-K Item 1: 'properties in only one state, Texas, individually accounted for 10% or more of our total revenue at 10.0% of our total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Board elected Michael Friedland, age 66, as independent director effective April 1, 2026, to serve on Investment and Nominating/Governance Committees. Routine board appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.41Resistance $25.76

Price Targets

$24
$25
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $24.41. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.24 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $24.41. Stop-loss: $24.41.

What are the risks of investing in FCPT?

Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FCPT overvalued or undervalued?

Four Corners Property Trust, In trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FCPT?

14 analysts cover FCPT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Four Corners Property Trust, In do?Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased...

Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased primarily to operators under triple-net arrangements. As of December 31, 2025, Darden Restaurants and Brinker International represented 44.7% and 6.6% of annual cash base rent, respectively; restaurant properties account for 74% of total revenues.

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