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FCPTFour Corners Property Trust, InHold5.6·$24.98-1.17%
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Four Corners Property Trust, In (FCPT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased primarily to operators under triple-net arrangements. As of December 31, 2025, Darden Restaurants and Brinker International represented 44.7% and 6.6% of annual... Read more

$24.98+6.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#13 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.35%
IncomeYield5.80%(5y avg 5.21%)Payout130.00%
Entry $23.38(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $22.32Target $24.97(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$28.22+13.0%9 analysts
$24.97our TP
$24.98price
$28.22mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 46, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $24.98 has reached target $24.97. No upside to wait for. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Four Corners Property Trust, In

About Four Corners Property Trust, In

Four Corners Property Trust's net-lease portfolio generated $264.2 million in annual cash base rent at December 31, 2025, with Darden Restaurants representing 44.7% and Brinker International 6.6% of that total across 1,303 properties in 48 states. Restaurant properties accounted for 74% of total revenues; 99.6% of leasable square footage was occupied, and 53% of annualized base rent came from investment-grade tenants. In 2025, the company acquired 105 properties for a total investment of $325.5 million.

Four Corners earns revenue under net lease arrangements that obligate tenants to pay substantially all property operating costs—taxes, insurance, utilities, and maintenance—with contractual rent escalations averaging 1.5% annually through December 31, 2030. The weighted average remaining lease term was 6.9 years at year-end 2025. The Olive Garden brand—316 properties, 31.7% of total cash base rent—is the single largest component of the portfolio, followed by other restaurant brands at 29.3%, retail properties at 26.0%, LongHorn Steakhouse at 9.0%, and other Darden brands at 4.0%. Darden's leases carry a weighted average remaining initial term of approximately 4.8 years with no purchase options; Darden holds a right of first offer on any property sale. The company also operates seven Kerrow LongHorn Steakhouse restaurants under Darden franchise agreements, generating restaurant operations revenue alongside rent income. Four Corners held $590 million of variable-rate debt at year-end 2025, with $560 million effectively fixed through interest rate swaps.

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Darden's 44.7% share of annual cash base rent makes it the primary revenue source, and the 10-K explicitly calls it the primary lessee and primary source of revenues. The Darden leases carry a weighted average remaining initial term of approximately 4.8 years as of December 31, 2025—shorter than the portfolio average of 6.9 years—creating earlier renewal risk for the dominant tenant. The 10-K flags risks associated with having a highly concentrated property brand base from the 316 Olive Garden properties, while Brinker International at 6.6% adds a secondary dependency. Four Corners holds BBB from Fitch Ratings and Baa3 from Moody's, providing investment-grade access to debt markets for continued portfolio expansion.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Four Corners Property Trust, In's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn38.7%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.82
Dividend5.80%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenantDarden45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Darden and Brinker International, Inc. ("Brinker") constituted approximately 44.7% and 6.6%, respectively, of our annual cash base rent'
  • HIGHTenantOlive Garden
    10-K Item 1A: 'our restaurant properties include 316 Olive Garden restaurants. As a result, our success... is dependent on the continued success of the Olive Garden brand'
  • LOWGeographicTexas10%
    10-K Item 1: 'properties in only one state, Texas, individually accounted for 10% or more of our total revenue at 10.0% of our total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Board elected Michael Friedland, age 66, as independent director effective April 1, 2026, to serve on Investment and Nominating/Governance Committees. Routine board appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.87Resistance $25.48

Price Targets

$22
$23
$25
A.Upside-0.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCPT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 46, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $24.98 has reached target $24.97. No upside to wait for. Target $24.97 (-0.0%), stop $22.32 (−11.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.97 (+6.8% upside). Target $24.97 (-0.0%), stop $22.32 (−11.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $22.32.

What are the risks of investing in FCPT?

Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FCPT overvalued or undervalued?

Four Corners Property Trust, In trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCPT?

15 analysts cover FCPT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Four Corners Property Trust, In do?Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased...

Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased primarily to operators under triple-net arrangements. As of December 31, 2025, Darden Restaurants and Brinker International represented 44.7% and 6.6% of annual cash base rent, respectively; restaurant properties account for 74% of total revenues.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation)
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