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EXPOExponent, Inc.Sell5.7·$71.10
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exponent operates a high-quality engineering and consulting franchise with best-in-class margins of 20%, a perfect Piotroski financial health score, and a wide economic moat — yet the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend and recently missed earnings estimates, creating tension between the quality of the business and near-term execution momentum. The risk/reward geometry of roughly 21% upside against 7% downside offers an asymmetric setup for investors who can absorb the trend headwind.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Favorable Asymmetric Risk Reward→Stable
  • Confirmed Technical Downtrend↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Analysis

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.10 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing... Read more

$71.10+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#20 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.28%
IncomeYield1.73%(5y avg 1.16%)Payout54.71%sustainable
Stop $67.28Target $71.40(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$84.00+18.1%3 analysts
$71.40our TP
$71.10price
$84.00mean
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.10 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Overbought (RSI 75)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.9
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA24.6
Profit Mgn19.7%
ROE31.2%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.70
Dividend1.73%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV94%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.55Resistance $71.83

Price Targets

$67
$71
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.4% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.10 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.28. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.40 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $67.28. Stop-loss: $67.28.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 75).

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Exponent, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXPO?

10 analysts cover EXPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Exponent, Inc. do?Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90...

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing accidents and failures to advise clients as they innovate their technologically complex products and processes, ensure the safety and health of their users, and address the challenges o

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