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EXPOExponent, Inc.Hold5.7·$87.43
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exponent operates a high-quality engineering and consulting franchise with best-in-class margins of 20%, a perfect Piotroski financial health score, and a wide economic moat — yet the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend and recently missed earnings estimates, creating tension between the quality of the business and near-term execution momentum. The risk/reward geometry of roughly 21% upside against 7% downside offers an asymmetric setup for investors who can absorb the trend headwind.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality Franchise↑Improving
  • Favorable Asymmetric Risk Reward↓Deteriorating
  • Confirmed Technical Downtrend→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing... Read more

$87.43-11.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#20 of 33 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.42%(5y avg 1.17%)Payout54.71%sustainable
Stop $82.23Analyst target $77.07(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$90.67+3.7%3 analysts with price targets
$87.43price
$90.67mean
$82
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Exponent, Inc.

Latest news

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.7
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA27.6
Profit Mgn19.7%
ROE32.3%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta0.68
Dividend1.42%
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Pe
3.3
Forward Pe
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.7
Ps
5.4
Forward P/E: 30.0xPEG: 1.83

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.26Resistance $88.17

Price Targets

A.Upside-11.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $87.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $77.07 reached (−11.9%), stop $82.23 (−6.3%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPO stock price target?

Analyst target $77.07 reached (−11.9% from $87.43); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $77.07 reached (−11.9%), stop $82.23 (−6.3%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $82.23.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Exponent, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EXPO?

10 analysts rate EXPO, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $91.

What does Exponent, Inc. do?Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90...

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing accidents and failures to advise clients as they innovate their technologically complex products and processes, ensure the safety and health of their users, and address the challenges o

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