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Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing... Read more

$57.38+21.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.65%
IncomeYield2.12%(5y avg 1.15%)Payout56.54%sustainable
Stop $53.34Target $69.42(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$81.67+42.3%3 analysts
$69.42our TP
$57.38price
$81.67mean
$90

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Exponent, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.8
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn19.8%
ROE27.9%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.78
Dividend2.12%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV39%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** Appointment of John D. Pye, Ph.D. On April 6, 2026, Exponent, Inc.'s (the "Company") board of directors (the "Board") appointed Dr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Obv
5.3
Volume
6.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
3.7
Quality Rank
8.2
Best-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.91Resistance $69.24

Price Targets

$53
$69
A.Upside+21.0%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $57.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $53.34. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.42 (+21.0% upside). Prior stop was $53.34. Stop-loss: $53.34.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Exponent, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXPO?

10 analysts cover EXPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Exponent, Inc. do?Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90...

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing accidents and failures to advise clients as they innovate their technologically complex products and processes, ensure the safety and health of their users, and address the challenges o

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