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Eaton Corporation, PLC (ETN) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $377.65, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

We make products for the data center, utility, industrial, commercial, machine building, residential, aerospace and mobility markets. We are capitalizing on the megatrends of the electrification, digitalization, and the reindustrialization of and growth of megaprojects in North... Read more

$377.65+6.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#37 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.78%
IncomeYield1.15%(5y avg 1.57%)Payout41.29%sustainable
Stop $364.29Target $405.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$450.96+19.4%28 analysts
$405.86our TP
$377.65price
$450.96mean
$321
$515

Sell if holding. At $377.65, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.3Qual5.7Grw3.4Mom3.1Sent7.0Ins5.0Peer4.2Tech8.8Risk4.64.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Eaton Corporation, PLC

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$148.3B
EV/EBITDA26.7
Profit Mgn14.0%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth16.8%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.15%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.46bearish
IV53%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On March 6, 2026, Eaton Corporation ("Eaton Corp"), a subsidiary of Eaton Corporation plc (the "Company"), terminated the $8,000,000,000 term credit agreement (the "Term Credit Agreement") entered into on February 6, 2026 with the Company, Eaton Capital Unlimited Company ("Eaton Capital"), a subs...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On February 25, 2026, the Compensation and Organization Committee (the "Committee") of the Board of Directors of Eaton Corporation plc (the "Company") established corporate performance criteria that will be used to determine the amount of 2026 executive incentive compensation awards that will be ...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Financial Officer Appointment On March 2, 2026, Eaton Corporation plc (the "Company") announced that David B. Foster has been appointed on February 26, 2026 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Eaton Corporation, effective March 2, 2026 (the "Effective Date"). Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.5
Uptrend pullback (RSI 40) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.1
Revenue Growth
6.7
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $375.56Resistance $434.53

Price Targets

$364
$406
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $377.65, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $364.29. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ETN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $405.86 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $364.29. Stop-loss: $364.29.

What are the risks of investing in ETN?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is ETN overvalued or undervalued?

Eaton Corporation, PLC trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETN?

37 analysts cover ETN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $451.

What does Eaton Corporation, PLC do?We make products for the data center, utility, industrial, commercial, machine building, residential, aerospace and...

We make products for the data center, utility, industrial, commercial, machine building, residential, aerospace and mobility markets. We are capitalizing on the megatrends of the electrification, digitalization, and the reindustrialization of and growth of megaprojects in North America and increased global infrastructure spending, all of which are expanding our end markets and positioning Eaton for growth for years to come. We are strengthening our participatio

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