Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.80: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems for distribution centers and micro-fulfillment, serving large retailers and wholesale distributors. Revenue comes from initial system sales, recurring software maintenance, and operation services;... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.80: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Symbotic Inc.
About Symbotic Inc.
Symbotic carried $22.5 billion in total contract backlog at September 27, 2025, with GreenBox representing $11.6 billion of that total and Walmart comprising approximately 85% of fiscal 2025 revenue. The company deployed its first BreakPack system at a customer distribution center in 2025 and entered a 2025 Walmart Master Automation Agreement targeting up to 400 micro-fulfillment installations contingent on performance milestones.
Symbotic generates revenue through a three-part model: an upfront system sale when automation hardware is deployed in a customer's existing warehouse, a recurring software maintenance and support fee charged over the system's remaining life, and transitional operation services billed while customer staff trains. The capital-intensive installation covers inbound de-palletizing cells, autonomous mobile robots, storage structures, lifts, and outbound palletizing cells—hardware that must be in place before recurring revenue begins. Walmart's 42 regional distribution center rollout under the 2022 Master Automation Agreement provides the bulk of near-term revenue visibility, while the GreenBox warehouse-as-a-service joint venture contributes $11.6 billion to the backlog. C&S Wholesale Grocers, an affiliate whose CEO also serves as Symbotic's Executive Chairman, holds systems under maintenance and support contracts expiring October 2029. The company reported a net loss of $91.0 million in fiscal 2025 and an accumulated deficit of $1.3 billion, reflecting the front-loaded cost structure of large system deployments.
Show full overview
The 2022 Walmart Master Automation Agreement restricts Symbotic's ability to sell to a specified competitor of Walmart, effectively capping the company's near-term addressable market. The 2025 Walmart MAA adds a conditional commitment for up to 400 micro-fulfillment systems subject to performance metrics, and the 2022 agreement grants Walmart certain board observation rights. Together, these arrangements make Walmart both Symbotic's largest revenue source at 85% and a governing stakeholder—if Walmart were to reduce or cancel deployments, the impact on Symbotic's financial condition or results of operations could be material.
See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
From Symbotic Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Symbotic Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Braze Posts Mixed Q1 Results, Joins Sidus Space, Everpure And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Thursday's Pre-Market Ses — benzinga May 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Goldman Sachs Maintains Sell on Symbotic, Lowers Price Target to $45 — benzinga May 26, 2026 negative
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today's Session — benzinga May 22, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Symbotic Stock Under Pressure After Mixed Earnings Report — benzinga May 7, 2026 negative
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:28Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerWalmart85%10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart, our largest customer, accounted for approximately 85% of our total revenue in the fiscal year ended September 27, 2025'
- LOWCustomerUNFI, GreenBox, Southern Glazers and Albertsons13%10-K Item 1A: 'UNFI, GreenBox, Southern Glazers and Albertsons. Net sales to these customers accounted for approximately 13% of our total revenue'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Volatile — 7.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $41.80: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $39.27. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $59.11 (+44.8% upside). Prior stop was $39.27. Stop-loss: $39.27.
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (85.0%); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).
Symbotic Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 57.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover SYM with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $66.
What does Symbotic Inc. do?Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems for distribution centers and...
Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems for distribution centers and micro-fulfillment, serving large retailers and wholesale distributors. Revenue comes from initial system sales, recurring software maintenance, and operation services; Walmart accounted for approximately 85% of total revenue in fiscal 2025 against a $22.5 billion backlog.