Skip to main content

Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems for large-scale distribution centers and micro-fulfillment centers. As of September 27, 2025, it had approximately $22.5 billion of backlog, the vast majority from Walmart and the GreenBox joint... Read more

$58.48+12.1% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#45 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $54.56Target $65.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$64.81+10.8%17 analysts
$65.74our TP
$58.48price
$64.81mean
$40
$83

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (85.0%)
Target reached (-0.6% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)76.4
Mkt Cap$34.5B
EV/EBITDA-1217.9
Profit Mgn-0.5%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth29.4%
Beta2.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV119%elevated
Max Pain$35-40.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerWalmart85%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart, our largest customer, accounted for approximately 85% of our total revenue in the fiscal year ended September 27, 2025 and for a significant majority of our $22.5 billion backlog'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.4
Forward Pe
1.1
Peg Ratio
2.2
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 76.4xPEG: 5.46Expensive valuation

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.7
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.1
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 6.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.7
Debt Equity
1.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.0
Put Call
6.5
High short interest justified: 28%High IV: 119%Above max pain $35Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
9.3
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.50Resistance $67.08

Price Targets

$55
$66
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $54.56. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.74 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $54.56. Stop-loss: $54.56.

What are the risks of investing in SYM?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (85.0%); Target reached (-0.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is SYM overvalued or undervalued?

Symbotic Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 76.4). TrendMatrix value score: 1.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SYM?

25 analysts cover SYM with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Symbotic Inc. do?Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems for large-scale distribution centers and...

Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems for large-scale distribution centers and micro-fulfillment centers. As of September 27, 2025, it had approximately $22.5 billion of backlog, the vast majority from Walmart and the GreenBox joint venture. The company had a net loss of $91.0 million in fiscal year 2025 and has identified a material weakness in internal controls.

Related stocks: JBTM (JBT Marel Corporation) · OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · AOS (A.O. Smith Corporation) · CSW (CSW Industrials, Inc.)