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Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $50.09: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems that handle pallets, cases, and eaches in distribution centers using autonomous mobile robots and proprietary software. Revenue comes from initial system sales, ongoing software maintenance/support... Read more

$50.09+17.7% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#46 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.18%
Stop $46.52Target $58.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$65.40+30.6%17 analysts
$58.86our TP
$50.09price
$65.40mean
$44
$84

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $50.09: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Symbotic Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (85.0%)
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)61.1
Mkt Cap$28.1B
EV/EBITDA189.4
Profit Mgn-0.3%
ROE-5.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta2.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$35-30.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerWalmart85%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart, our largest customer, accounted for approximately 85% of our total revenue in the fiscal year ended September 27, 2025 and for a significant majority of our $22.5 billion backlog'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.1
Operating Margin
0.4
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.3
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 6.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Short Interest
0.8
Implied Vol
0.9
Debt Equity
2.3
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.2
Put Call
7.3
High short interest justified: 27%High IV: 75%Above max pain $35Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
8.9
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.8
Ps
2.6
Peg Ratio
3.1
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 61.1xPEG: 4.02
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.20Resistance $64.22

Price Targets

$47
$59
A.Upside+17.5%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $50.09: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $46.52. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.86 (+17.7% upside). Prior stop was $46.52. Stop-loss: $46.52.

What are the risks of investing in SYM?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (85.0%); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is SYM overvalued or undervalued?

Symbotic Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 61.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SYM?

25 analysts cover SYM with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Symbotic Inc. do?Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems that handle pallets, cases, and eaches in...

Symbotic develops and deploys AI-powered robotic warehouse automation systems that handle pallets, cases, and eaches in distribution centers using autonomous mobile robots and proprietary software. Revenue comes from initial system sales, ongoing software maintenance/support fees, and operation services, with approximately $22.5 billion in backlog as of September 27, 2025.

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