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ESPREsperion Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.5·$3.16+0.00%
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Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. (ESPR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.16 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Esperion Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for the treatment of patients with elevated low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in the United States. The company's marketed products include NEXLETOL (bempedoic acid) and... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-6.10%
Stop $3.12Target $3.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$3.19+0.9%4 analysts
$3.11our TP
$3.16price
$3.19mean
$3
$3

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.16 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Esperion Therapeutics, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$814M
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn-1.8%
ROE
Rev Growth23.2%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV28%low

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Estimates down -35.2% (30d)Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.5
Bollinger
3.2
52w Position
5.1
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.13Resistance $3.17

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.16 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $3.12. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.11 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $3.12. Stop-loss: $3.12.

What are the risks of investing in ESPR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is ESPR overvalued or undervalued?

Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESPR?

11 analysts cover ESPR with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. do?Esperion Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for the treatment of...

Esperion Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for the treatment of patients with elevated low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in the United States. The company's marketed products include NEXLETOL (bempedoic acid) and NEXLIZET (bempedoic acid and ezetimibe) tablets that are oral, once-daily, non-statin medicines for the treatment of primary hyperlipidemia in adults with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia cardiovascular disease who require additional lowering of LDL-C. Its products also include NILEMDO, an ATP Citrate Lyase (ACL) inhibitor that lowers LDL-C and cardiovascular risk by reducing cholesterol biosynthesis and up-regulating the LDL receptors; and NUSTENDI, a bempedoic acid and ezetimibe tablet to treat elevated LDL-C. It has license and collaboration agreements with Daiichi Sankyo Co. Ltd to; Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd; and Daiichi Sankyo Europe GmbH. Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as HDL Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. in May 2008. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d ago