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Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Eversource Energy is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to ~3.3M customers across Connecticut (CL&P), Massachusetts (NSTAR Electric), and New Hampshire (PSNH), plus electric transmission in New England. Revenue is set by state commissions (PURA, DPU,... Read more

$68.08+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#16 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.29%
IncomeYield4.63%(5y avg 3.83%)Payout65.20%
Stop $64.90Target $69.50(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$72.00+5.8%12 analysts
$69.50our TP
$68.08price
$72.00mean
$54
$85

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Eversource Energy (D/B/A)

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$25.6B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.75
Dividend4.63%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.10bearish
IV30%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatoryConnecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA)
    10-K Item 1: 'CL&P is subject to regulation by the Connecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA), which, among other things, has jurisdiction over rates'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryMassachusetts Department of Public Utilities (DPU)
    10-K Item 1: 'NSTAR Electric is subject to regulation by the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities (DPU), which, among other things, has jurisdiction over rates'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $65.55Resistance $70.92

Price Targets

$65
$70
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $64.90. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.50 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $64.90. Stop-loss: $64.90.

What are the risks of investing in ES?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is ES overvalued or undervalued?

Eversource Energy (D/B/A) trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ES?

25 analysts cover ES with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Eversource Energy (D/B/A) do?Eversource Energy is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to ~3.3M customers across Connecticut...

Eversource Energy is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to ~3.3M customers across Connecticut (CL&P), Massachusetts (NSTAR Electric), and New Hampshire (PSNH), plus electric transmission in New England. Revenue is set by state commissions (PURA, DPU, NHPUC) and FERC; natural gas distribution businesses were sold in July 2025.

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