Skip to main content
EQXEquinox Gold Corp.Sell6.5·$11.60+3.39%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Equinox Gold carries an attractively stated valuation — a low single-digit forward earnings multiple and a near-zero price-to-growth ratio — with strong margins and a wide economic moat, but the forward earnings estimate appears to reflect an elevated gold-price environment that may mean-revert; the risk/reward geometry is unfavorable, with only 6.3% of headroom to the analyst target against roughly twice that on the downside.

Thesis pillars

  • Commodity Cycle Peak Estimate RiskDeteriorating
  • Low Stated Forward ValuationDeteriorating
  • Quality Moat Financial StrengthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Equinox Gold Corp. (EQX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..

Equinox Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in the Americas. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Trek Mining Inc. and changed its name to Equinox Gold Corp. in December... Read more

$11.60-4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#20 of 40 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.70%
IncomeYield0.45%Payout4.62%sustainable
Stop $10.79Target $11.83(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$13.00+12.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and materials cycle peak fwd=7.6x,ratio=0.43x. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)7.6
Mkt Cap$13.5B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn28.1%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth169.3%
Beta2.40
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$10-13.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
2.3
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=7.6x,ratio=0.43xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.62Resistance $12.07

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside-4.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $10.79. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.83 (-4.7% upside). Prior stop was $10.79. Stop-loss: $10.79.

What are the risks of investing in EQX?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is EQX overvalued or undervalued?

Equinox Gold Corp. trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EQX?

6 analysts cover EQX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Equinox Gold Corp. do?Equinox Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in the...

Equinox Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in the Americas. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Trek Mining Inc. and changed its name to Equinox Gold Corp. in December 2017. Equinox Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited)
Home Stocks EQX

Latest news

Latest News

Kalkine Media18d ago
Insider Monkey109d ago
Yahoo Finance109d agoEarnings
MarketBeat109d agoEarnings
MarketBeat109d ago
GuruFocus123d ago
Marketscreener.com102d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative102d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com102d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com102d ago
Quiver Quantitative11d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com11d ago
Yahoo Finance11d ago
StocksToTrade11d agoMerger Acquisition
Timothysykes.com11d agoMerger Acquisition
TipRanks11d agoMerger Acquisition
Yahoo Finance19d agoMerger Acquisition
GuruFocus110d ago
MarketBeat110d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus124d ago
Loading more...