Value
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.9 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.1 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.12
- ▸Attractively valued
EMBJ · Why this verdict
Why Embraer (EMBJ) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.9 |
| ROA | 2.2 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 2.3 |
| Net margin | 2.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.4 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -13% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
8.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.1 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.9 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.6 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.5 |
| Analyst rating | 8.6 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 43%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.6 |
| quality rank | 3.6 |
| growth rank | 4.9 |
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.2 |
| support resistance | 7.4 |
| 52w position | 4.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.3 |
| days to cover | 9.5 |
| volatility | 4.2 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.5 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.6 |
| debt equity | 6.3 |
- ▸Above max pain $40
Catalyst
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.2 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 108.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.2>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:3.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:62d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
3.67
Upside
+24.5%
Downside
6.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 8.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.6, Sentiment at 8.4, and Value at 7.7; the weakest are Quality at 3.1, Catalyst at 4.3, and Peer rank at 4.3. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.67 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.