Skip to main content

Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. (ELVN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $39.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality.

Enliven Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ELVN-001, a highly selective BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor in Phase 1 ENABLE trial for chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), with Phase 3 ENABLE-2 planned for 2H 2026. The company has no approved... Read more

$39.63+25.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#64 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.83%
Stop $37.62Target $49.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$57.00+43.8%8 analysts
$49.59our TP
$39.63price
$57.00mean
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $39.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Enliven Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: ELVN-001
Concentration risk — Supplier: Pharmaron
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-17.3
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-17.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-26.6%
Rev Growth
Beta0.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.63bearish
IV149%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineELVN-001
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on ELVN-001. If we are unable to advance ELVN-001 through clinical development, obtain regulatory approval and ultimately commercialize or license ELVN-001...our business will be materially harmed.'
  • HIGHSupplierPharmaron
    10-K Item 1: 'we have obtained the custom-manufactured starting materials for active pharmaceutical ingredients ("APIs") manufacture from Pharmaron and Hande Sciences and our good manufacturing practice ("GMP") APIs from Pharmaron.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.78Resistance $46.93

Price Targets

$38
$50
A.Upside+25.1%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $39.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $37.62. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.59 (+25.1% upside). Prior stop was $37.62. Stop-loss: $37.62.

What are the risks of investing in ELVN?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: ELVN-001; Concentration risk — Supplier: Pharmaron; Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is ELVN overvalued or undervalued?

Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELVN?

16 analysts cover ELVN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. do?Enliven Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ELVN-001, a highly selective BCR-ABL...

Enliven Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ELVN-001, a highly selective BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor in Phase 1 ENABLE trial for chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), with Phase 3 ENABLE-2 planned for 2H 2026. The company has no approved products or revenue and is substantially dependent on ELVN-001 for all future commercial value.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · KRYS (Krystal Biotech, Inc.)