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Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. (ELVN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.15: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Enliven Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ELVN-001, a selective BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor for chronic myeloid leukemia, with a Phase 1/2 ENABLE trial ongoing and a pivotal Phase 3 trial initiation planned for 2026. Net loss was $103.7M... Read more

$42.15+6.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#125 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $39.13Target $44.62(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$51.29+21.7%7 analysts
$44.62our TP
$42.15price
$51.29mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.15: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: ELVN-001
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-16.7
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA-17.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-27.0%
Rev Growth
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$25-40.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductELVN-001
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on ELVN-001. If we are unable to advance ELVN-001 through clinical development, obtain regulatory approval and ultimately commercialize or license ELVN-001, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business will be materially harmed'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.5
Uptrend pullback (RSI 40) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 13 days
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.96Resistance $48.53

Price Targets

$39
$45
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.15: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.13. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.62 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $39.13. Stop-loss: $39.13.

What are the risks of investing in ELVN?

Concentration risk — Product: ELVN-001; Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is ELVN overvalued or undervalued?

Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELVN?

16 analysts cover ELVN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. do?Enliven Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ELVN-001, a selective BCR-ABL tyrosine...

Enliven Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ELVN-001, a selective BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor for chronic myeloid leukemia, with a Phase 1/2 ENABLE trial ongoing and a pivotal Phase 3 trial initiation planned for 2026. Net loss was $103.7M in 2025; accumulated deficit $347.2M; no product revenue generated.

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