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Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. At $96.77, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (16.0%).

Kimberly-Clark manufactures and markets tissue, personal care, and hygiene products under brands including Huggies, Kleenex, Cottonelle, Kotex, and Depend, sold in 175+ countries through two segments: North America and International Personal Care. Products are distributed... Read more

$96.77+6.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.29%
IncomeYield5.30%(5y avg 3.71%)Payout97.87%at-risk
Stop $91.83Target $102.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$114.27+18.1%15 analysts
$102.84our TP
$96.77price
$114.27mean
$162

Sell if holding. At $96.77, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (16.0%). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val6.6Qual6.1Grw4.4Mom2.5Sent5.8Ins5.0Peer5.8Tech5.9Risk5.35.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — Kimberly-Clark Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (16.0%)
Thin upside margin: 6.5%
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$32.0B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE111.7%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.31
Dividend5.30%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$55-43.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerWalmart Inc.16%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart Inc., represented approximately 16% in 2025 and 2024 and 15% in 2023 of our net sales from continuing operations.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02LOW
    Andrew Scribner (VP and Controller) departing May 22, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. CFO Nelson Urdaneta will serve as principal accounting officer on an interim basis upon Scribner's departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.4
Volume
3.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $94.67Resistance $100.48

Price Targets

$92
$103
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $96.77, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (16.0%). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $91.83. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.84 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $91.83. Stop-loss: $91.83.

What are the risks of investing in KMB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (16.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5.

Is KMB overvalued or undervalued?

Kimberly-Clark Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KMB?

21 analysts cover KMB with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Kimberly-Clark Corporation do?Kimberly-Clark manufactures and markets tissue, personal care, and hygiene products under brands including Huggies,...

Kimberly-Clark manufactures and markets tissue, personal care, and hygiene products under brands including Huggies, Kleenex, Cottonelle, Kotex, and Depend, sold in 175+ countries through two segments: North America and International Personal Care. Products are distributed through mass merchants, drugstores, and e-commerce; Walmart represents approximately 16% of net sales from continuing operations.

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