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Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.69 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5.

Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care products including Huggies, Kleenex, Scott, and Kotex, operating two segments: North America and International Personal Care. Revenue from consumer product sales in 175+ countries; approximately half from outside the U.S. Pending... Read more

$97.69+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 13 Household & Personal Products
Stop $93.70Target $99.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$114.50+17.2%14 analysts
$99.61our TP
$97.69price
$114.50mean
$90
$162

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.69 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 102d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$31.9B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE111.7%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.30
Dividend5.33%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV36%normal
Max Pain$60-38.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliersole-source and single-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have a complex network of suppliers, including a number of sole-source and single-source suppliers for certain commodities and raw material inputs'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
3.3
Bollinger
3.9
52w Position
3.9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 102d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $92.42Resistance $100.44

Price Targets

$94
$100
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (102d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.69 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $93.70. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the KMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.61 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $93.70. Stop-loss: $93.70.

What are the risks of investing in KMB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is KMB overvalued or undervalued?

Kimberly-Clark Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KMB?

21 analysts cover KMB with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Kimberly-Clark Corporation do?Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care products including Huggies, Kleenex, Scott, and Kotex, operating two...

Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care products including Huggies, Kleenex, Scott, and Kotex, operating two segments: North America and International Personal Care. Revenue from consumer product sales in 175+ countries; approximately half from outside the U.S. Pending acquisition of Kenvue announced November 2025.

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