Skip to main content
CIGComp En De Mn CemigSell4.9·$1.82
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The utility trades at a forward P/E of 13.9x among the cheapest in its peer group and has beaten consensus estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of approximately 48%, but a flagged condition indicates the stock has run above its fundamental valuation anchor, free cash flow is negative, leverage stands at a debt-to-equity of 1.9, and quality sits below the minimum acceptable threshold — factors that collectively present a value-trap profile rather than a genuine opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Fundamental Anchor→Stable
  • Negative Fcf And Elevated Leverage→Stable
  • Deep Value Vs Peers↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Comp En De Mn Cemig (CIG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-12). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.82: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 32 hydro plants with a total capacity of 4,434 M, 2 wind farms with a total... Read more

$1.82+3.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#33 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-61.10%
IncomeYield8.04%(5y avg 7.69%)Payout78.99%
Stop $1.72Analyst target $1.88(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$2.22+21.8%3 analysts with price targets
$1.88Analyst target
$1.82price
$2.22mean
$3

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.82: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Comp En De Mn Cemig

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 61x vs trail 6x (10.3x)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.9
P/E (Fwd)60.7
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA3.2
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth3.4%
Beta0.11
Dividend8.04%
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
5.0
Roe
5.3
Net Margin
5.3
Operating Margin
6.2
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -69% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1.77Resistance $2.43

Price Targets

$2
$2
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 61x vs trail 6x (10.3x)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.82: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1.72. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIG stock price target?

Analyst target: $1.88 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $1.72. Stop-loss: $1.72.

What are the risks of investing in CIG?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 61x vs trail 6x (10.3x); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is CIG overvalued or undervalued?

Comp En De Mn Cemig trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward 60.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIG?

17 analysts rate CIG, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $2.

What does Comp En De Mn Cemig do?Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission,...

Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 32 hydro plants with a total capacity of 4,434 M, 2 wind farms with a total capacity of 71 MW, and 12 photovoltaic power stations with a total capacity of 169 MW; 365,577 miles of distribution lines; and 4,865 miles of transmission lines. It is also involved in the acquisition, transportation, and distribution of gas and its sub products and derivatives; sale and trading of energy; construction, implementation, operation and maintenance of electricity transmission; marketing and intermediation of energy-related business; installation, operation, maintenance and rental of solar plants; and distributed generation, account services, cogeneration, energy efficiency, and supply and storage management activities. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.

Related stocks: CEPU (Central Puerto S.A.) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · OGE (OGE Energy Corp) · XEL (Xcel Energy Inc.) · HE (Hawaiian Electric Industries, I)
Home › Stocks › CIG

Latest news

Latest News

TipRanks191d ago
Moomoo191d agoEarnings
MarketBeat189d agoEarnings
MarketBeat181d ago
Fiscal.ai4h ago
Fiscal.ai8d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga31d ago
Benzinga174d ago