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Dover Corporation (DOV) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $210.83, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Dover Corporation is a diversified industrial manufacturer with five segments—Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies—employing ~24,000 people globally. Approximately 46% of... Read more

$210.83+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#23 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.96%
IncomeYield0.99%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout25.94%sustainable
Stop $202.92Target $223.68(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$248.53+17.9%21 analysts
$223.68our TP
$210.83price
$248.53mean
$168
$279

Sell if holding. At $210.83, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Dover Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.1%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)18.2
Mkt Cap$28.4B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.21
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside the United States46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 46% of our revenues for both 2025 and 2024 were derived outside the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-08Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of existing $1B five-year unsecured revolving credit facility (effective April 2, 2026), replaced by new $1.5B five-year unsecured revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Uptrend pullback (RSI 31) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $209.20Resistance $232.71

Price Targets

$203
$224
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $210.83, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $202.92. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $223.68 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $202.92. Stop-loss: $202.92.

What are the risks of investing in DOV?

Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is DOV overvalued or undervalued?

Dover Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOV?

26 analysts cover DOV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $249.

What does Dover Corporation do?Dover Corporation is a diversified industrial manufacturer with five segments—Engineered Products, Clean Energy &...

Dover Corporation is a diversified industrial manufacturer with five segments—Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies—employing ~24,000 people globally. Approximately 46% of revenues in both 2025 and 2024 were derived outside the United States. Revenue is split across equipment, consumables, aftermarket parts, software, and services.

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