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Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $101.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

The Walt Disney Company, together with the subsidiaries through which businesses are conducted (the Company), is a diversified worldwide entertainment company with operations in three segments: Entertainment, Sports and Experiences.

$101.89+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#16 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $97.71Target $115.43(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$128.25+25.9%29 analysts
$115.43our TP
$101.89price
$128.25mean
$77
$160

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $101.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$179.5B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta1.44
Dividend1.48%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.01bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$65-36.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    [... truncated]
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Exhibit Number | | Description 99.1 | | [Press Release dated February 24, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1744489/000174448926000025/fy2026_q2xxneodeparturepre.htm) 104 | | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * Signatures Pursuant to the ...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.1
Revenue Growth
3.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $95.09Resistance $107.11

Price Targets

$98
$115
A.Upside+13.3%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $101.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $97.71. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.43 (+13.5% upside). Prior stop was $97.71. Stop-loss: $97.71.

What are the risks of investing in DIS?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Weak growth.

Is DIS overvalued or undervalued?

Walt Disney Company (The) trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DIS?

37 analysts cover DIS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Walt Disney Company (The) do?The Walt Disney Company, together with the subsidiaries through which businesses are conducted (the Company), is a...

The Walt Disney Company, together with the subsidiaries through which businesses are conducted (the Company), is a diversified worldwide entertainment company with operations in three segments: Entertainment, Sports and Experiences.

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