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SITMSiTime CorporationSell6.0·$686.25-7.57%
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SiTime Corporation (SITM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $686.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

SiTime designs and sells Precision Timing semiconductor solutions — oscillators, clock ICs, MEMS resonators, and synchronization software — using a fabless model with MEMS-based silicon technology, serving AI datacenter, communications, automotive, industrial, and consumer IoT... Read more

$686.25+5.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#13 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.04%
Stop $636.92Target $720.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$827.78+20.6%9 analysts
$720.17our TP
$686.25price
$827.78mean
$900

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $686.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About SiTime Corporation

About SiTime Corporation

SiTime Corporation's top ten end customers accounted for 65% of 2025 revenue, up from 59% in 2024, while Apple alone — the largest single end customer — contributed about 17%. The company's top three distributors generated 59% of 2025 revenue, reflecting a fabless model that routes substantially all manufacturing and assembly to partners in Germany, Malaysia, Taiwan, Thailand, and Singapore. In 2025, SiTime benefited from strong growth in AI datacenter deployments, its most significant growth segment of the year.

SiTime earns revenue from hardware sales of MEMS-based oscillators, clock ICs, resonators, and bundled synchronization software across AI datacenter, communications, automotive, industrial, aerospace and defense, and consumer IoT markets — a total timing opportunity the company estimates at roughly $11 billion. The fabless model outsources all wafer fabrication and assembly: SiTime relies primarily on Bosch for MEMS wafers under a 10-year supply agreement (initial term through February 2027, auto-renewing) and on TSMC and UMC for analog circuits fabrication. Assembly and testing are handled by ASE, Carsem, and UTAC. In December 2023, the company acquired clock products from Aura Semiconductor for circa $148 million in fixed payments plus up to $120 million in earnouts, adding network synchronizers, jitter cleaners, clock generators, and buffers to its portfolio. On February 4, 2026, SiTime entered an asset purchase agreement to acquire Renesas Electronics Corporation's timing business for $1.5 billion in cash plus 4.13 million SiTime shares, subject to HSR clearance and other regulatory approvals.

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SiTime's MEMS fabrication concentrates on Bosch and Teledyne, with only a few foundry vendors capable of manufacturing the company's most advanced MEMS solutions; the Bosch supply agreement auto-renews after its initial term through February 2027. Analog circuit fabrication concentrates on TSMC and UMC, both of which could face capacity constraints as foundries transition to advanced process nodes — an explicit supply chain vulnerability disclosed in the 10-K. Approximately 93% of 2025 revenue came from distributors with ship-to locations outside the United States, exposing the company to tariff and geopolitical risk across its manufacturing sites in Malaysia, Taiwan, Thailand, and Singapore.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From SiTime Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top three distributors (59.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (65.0%)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)69.6
Mkt Cap$19.6B
EV/EBITDA5959.1
Profit Mgn-6.4%
ROE-2.6%
Rev Growth88.3%
Beta2.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$240-65.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerApple17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales attributable to Apple, our largest end customer accounted for approximately 17%...of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHCustomertop three distributors59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top three distributors by revenue together accounted for approximately 59%...of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHCustomertop ten end customers65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'revenue attributable to our ten largest end customers accounted for 65%...of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHSupplierBosch
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely primarily on Bosch and Teledyne Digital Imaging Inc. ("Teledyne") for our MEMS fabrication'
  • MEDIUMSupplierTSMC
    10-K Item 1A: 'primarily on TSMC and UMC for our analog circuits fabrication'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational ship-to locations93%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 93%, 92%, and 86% of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025...was from distributors with ship-to locations outside the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
3.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Gross Margin
7.1
Moat
7.2
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 2%, FCF yield 0.0%)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $609.15Resistance $769.47

Price Targets

$637
$720
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $686.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $636.92. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $720.17 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $636.92. Stop-loss: $636.92.

What are the risks of investing in SITM?

Concentration risk — Customer: top three distributors (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten end customers (65.0%); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is SITM overvalued or undervalued?

SiTime Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 69.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SITM?

16 analysts cover SITM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $828.

What does SiTime Corporation do?SiTime designs and sells Precision Timing semiconductor solutions — oscillators, clock ICs, MEMS resonators, and...

SiTime designs and sells Precision Timing semiconductor solutions — oscillators, clock ICs, MEMS resonators, and synchronization software — using a fabless model with MEMS-based silicon technology, serving AI datacenter, communications, automotive, industrial, and consumer IoT markets. Revenue flows through distributors globally, with the top three distributors generating ~59% of 2025 revenue and Apple as the largest end customer at ~17%. In February 2026, the company announced a ~$1.5 billion acquisition of Renesas's timing business.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) · MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporat)
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