Maximus, Inc. (MMS) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: single federal agency.
Maximus provides tech-enabled services to government agencies through US Federal (56% of FY2025 revenue), US Services (32%), and Outside the US (11%) segments, administering Medicaid, Medicare, VA disability exams, student loan servicing, and tech modernization contracts.... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: single federal agency. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Maximus, Inc.
Latest news
- Why Maximus (MMS) is a great dividend stock right now - MSN — MSN positive
- MMS Training Center hosts event for National Apprentice Week - CIProud.com — CIProud.com neutral
- Maximus (MMS) Q1 Earnings: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- Maximus (MMS) Q1 Earnings: What To Expect - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- Maximus Names Elizabeth Moellering General Counsel Shaping Contract And Risk Focus - Sahm — Sahm positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government55%10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal year 2025, approximately 55% of our total revenue was derived from the U.S. federal government'
- HIGHCustomersingle federal agency10-K Item 1A: 'approximately one-fifth of our revenue came from contracts with a single federal agency'
- HIGHCustomertop ten largest contracts60%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 60% of our revenue came from our ten largest contracts'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -4.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: single federal agency. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $55.29. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $89.25 (+50.1% upside). Prior stop was $55.29. Stop-loss: $55.29.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: single federal agency; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).
Maximus, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
6 analysts cover MMS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $105.
What does Maximus, Inc. do?Maximus provides tech-enabled services to government agencies through US Federal (56% of FY2025 revenue), US Services...
Maximus provides tech-enabled services to government agencies through US Federal (56% of FY2025 revenue), US Services (32%), and Outside the US (11%) segments, administering Medicaid, Medicare, VA disability exams, student loan servicing, and tech modernization contracts. Approximately 55% of revenue is from the US federal government and 33% from state and local agencies.