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UNFUnifirst CorporationHold5.3·$258.88
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Unifirst Corporation has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and shows strong Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 with solid technical positioning, but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry of -2.02 and relies heavily on manufacturing operations in Mexico and Nicaragua that introduce material geographic concentration risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Concentration Mexico Nicaragua→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Catalyst Timing→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Resistance Negative Upside→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Unifirst Corporation (UNF) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $258.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear garment decontamination across North America, serving more than 300,000 customer locations. Revenue comes primarily from weekly rental and cleaning service... Read more

$258.88-10.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#19 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.12%
IncomeYield0.57%(5y avg 0.67%)Payout22.83%sustainable
Stop $247.35Target $285.35(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$273.33+5.6%3 analysts
$285.35our TP
$258.88price
$273.33mean
$285

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $258.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.7
P/E (Fwd)32.2
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta0.61
Dividend0.57%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomernuclear power plant operator customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant percentage of this segment's revenues are generated from a limited number of nuclear power plant operator customers'
  • HIGHGeographicMexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants62%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 62% of all garments we placed in service during fiscal 2025 ... manufactured at two of our plants located in San Luis Potosi, Mexico, one plant located in Managua, Nicaragua'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $255.00Resistance $291.17

Price Targets

$247
$285
A.Upside-10.3%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.3% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $258.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $285.35 (+10.2%), stop $247.35 (−4.7%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $285.35 (-10.3% upside). Target $285.35 (+10.2%), stop $247.35 (−4.7%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $247.35.

What are the risks of investing in UNF?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is UNF overvalued or undervalued?

Unifirst Corporation trades at a P/E of 40.7 (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UNF?

12 analysts cover UNF with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $273.

What does Unifirst Corporation do?UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear...

UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear garment decontamination across North America, serving more than 300,000 customer locations. Revenue comes primarily from weekly rental and cleaning service contracts of 3-5 years, with approximately 16,000 employees and about 62% of garments manufactured at company-owned plants in Mexico, Nicaragua, and the US.

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