A four-quarter streak of earnings misses averaging 91% below estimates, business quality well below the investable minimum, negative price momentum, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 7.25 combine to form one of the weakest fundamental and technical setups in the coverage universe—with no identifiable bull-case items and a quality floor breach that makes this a position to avoid.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Investable Minimum↑Improving
- Persistent Four Quarter Miss Streak↑Improving
- Extreme Put Call Defensive Positioning↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Americold operates 231 temperature-controlled warehouses with approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of capacity across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America as of December 31, 2025. The REIT generates revenue through Warehouse (storage and handling fees),... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 5, 2026Recent Developments — Americold Realty Trust, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Americold Realty Trust Raises FY2026 FFO Guidance from $1.26-$1.32 to $1.31-$1.33 vs $1.22 Est — benzinga Nov 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Americold Says EQT JV Enabled $1.15B Reduction In Outstanding Debt, Cutting Net Leverage By A Full Turn — benzinga Nov 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Americold Raises FY26 Core EBITDA Guidance To $585M-$610M From $570M-$600M; Total Company NOI To $800M-$830M From $775M- — benzinga Nov 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Americold Raises FY26 AFFO Guidance To $1.31-$1.33/Share From $1.26-$1.32 — benzinga Nov 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Americold Q3 AFFO $0.35 vs $0.35 YoY; GAAP EPS $2.38 Includes $714.1M Gain On EQT JV Formation; Sales $691.60M Beat $640 — benzinga Nov 5, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertytemperature-controlled warehouses10-K Item 1A: 'Our investments in real estate assets are concentrated in the industrial real estate industry, specifically in temperature-controlled warehouses'
- HIGHCustomertop-25 Warehouse customers52%10-K Item 1: 'our 25 largest customers in our Warehouse segment represent 52%...of our total Warehouse segment revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -17.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.39. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $14.61 reached (−3.8% from $15.19); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $14.39. Stop-loss: $14.39.
Concentration risk — Property Type: temperature-controlled warehouses; Concentration risk — Customer: top-25 Warehouse customers (52.0%); Target reached (-3.8% upside).
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -72.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts rate COLD, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 17 analysts publish price targets averaging $16.
What does Americold Realty Trust, Inc. do?Americold operates 231 temperature-controlled warehouses with approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of capacity across...
Americold operates 231 temperature-controlled warehouses with approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of capacity across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America as of December 31, 2025. The REIT generates revenue through Warehouse (storage and handling fees), Transportation, and Third-Party Managed segments, serving 2,962 customers primarily in the food supply chain.