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SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In (SMA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage industry.

SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties across 19 states, D.C., and Canada, focused on the top 100 MSAs. Revenue comes from month-to-month unit rentals and asset/property management fees through its Managed Platform. As the... Read more

$31.36+4.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 15 REIT - Industrial
Stop $29.67Target $32.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$35.80+14.2%10 analysts
$32.79our TP
$31.36price
$35.80mean
$30
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage industry. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage industry
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)57.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA22.0
Profit Mgn-0.6%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth24.0%
Beta
Dividend5.07%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyself storage industry
    10-K Item 1A: 'Because we are focused on the self storage industry, our rental revenues will be significantly influenced by demand for self storage space generally'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 5 to 6 members on Feb 19, 2026; Wayne Johnson (Company CIO) appointed as employee director. Also serves as CIO of the Managed REITs. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
5.2
Ps
5.7
P/OCF: 21.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.77Resistance $33.46

Price Targets

$30
$33
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage industry. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $29.67. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.79 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $29.67. Stop-loss: $29.67.

What are the risks of investing in SMA?

Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage industry; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is SMA overvalued or undervalued?

SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 57.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMA?

14 analysts cover SMA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.

What does SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In do?SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties across 19 states, D.C.,...

SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties across 19 states, D.C., and Canada, focused on the top 100 MSAs. Revenue comes from month-to-month unit rentals and asset/property management fees through its Managed Platform. As the 10th largest U.S. owner by rentable square footage, it completed its NYSE IPO in April 2025.

Related stocks: TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · STAG (Stag Industrial, Inc.) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru)