Skip to main content

SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In (SMA) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. At $30.05, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage.

SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties (122,000 units, 13.9M sq ft) across 19 states, DC, and Canada, ranked 10th largest in the U.S. by rentable sq ft. Revenue comes from month-to-month unit rentals; the company also... Read more

$30.05+3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.04%
IncomeYield5.40%Payout500.00%
Stop $28.54Target $31.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$35.90+19.5%10 analysts
$31.23our TP
$30.05price
$35.90mean
$40

Sell if holding. At $30.05, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage
Thin upside margin: 3.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)92.6
P/E (Fwd)53.0
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA21.0
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE1.5%
Rev Growth13.1%
Beta
Dividend5.40%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyself storage
    10-K Item 1: 'self-managed and fully-integrated self storage real estate investment trust...wholly-owned portfolio consisted of 177 operating self storage properties'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 5 to 6 members; Wayne Johnson (Chief Investment Officer) appointed as employee director effective Feb 19, 2026. No departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.42Resistance $33.99

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $30.05, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $28.54. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the SMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.23 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $28.54. Stop-loss: $28.54.

What are the risks of investing in SMA?

Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage; Thin upside margin: 3.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is SMA overvalued or undervalued?

SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In trades at a P/E of 92.6 (forward 53.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMA?

14 analysts cover SMA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.

What does SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In do?SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties (122,000 units, 13.9M...

SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties (122,000 units, 13.9M sq ft) across 19 states, DC, and Canada, ranked 10th largest in the U.S. by rentable sq ft. Revenue comes from month-to-month unit rentals; the company also manages 273 additional properties through its Managed Platform including 221 via the Argus acquisition (October 2025).

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · REXR (Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.)