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National Storage Affiliates Tru (NSA) Stock Analysis

HoldHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-storage REIT owning 1,063 properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico (~69.4M rentable sq ft, ~548,000 storage units as of December 31, 2025). Revenue comes from monthly self-storage rentals; no single customer is significant. A merger... Read more

$41.65+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.96%
IncomeYield5.49%(5y avg 5.27%)Payout304.00%
Stop $39.81Target $43.03(resistance)A.R:R -3.4:1
Analyst target$39.78-4.5%11 analysts
$43.03our TP
$41.65price
$39.78mean
$29
$49

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — National Storage Affiliates Tru

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.3
P/E (Fwd)111.1
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth18.0%
Beta1.09
Dividend5.49%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C31.50bearish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ev Ebitda
4.3
Ps
4.7
P Ocf
6.2
P/OCF: 17.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -3.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.73Resistance $43.91

Price Targets

$40
$43
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $43.03 (+3.3%), stop $39.81 (−4.6%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the NSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.03 (+3.3% upside). Target $43.03 (+3.3%), stop $39.81 (−4.6%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Stop-loss: $39.81.

What are the risks of investing in NSA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is NSA overvalued or undervalued?

National Storage Affiliates Tru trades at a P/E of 55.3 (forward 111.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NSA?

17 analysts cover NSA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $40.

What does National Storage Affiliates Tru do?National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-storage REIT owning 1,063 properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico...

National Storage Affiliates Trust is a self-storage REIT owning 1,063 properties across 37 states and Puerto Rico (~69.4M rentable sq ft, ~548,000 storage units as of December 31, 2025). Revenue comes from monthly self-storage rentals; no single customer is significant. A merger agreement with Public Storage was signed March 16, 2026.

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