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Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%).

Terreno Realty is an internally managed industrial REIT owning 309 buildings (~19.8M sqft) and 46 improved land parcels in six major coastal US markets (NYC/NJ, LA, Miami, SF Bay Area, Seattle, DC), 96.1% leased to 683 tenants. Revenue comes from industrial real estate leases:... Read more

$64.88+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.24%
IncomeYield3.16%(5y avg 2.64%)Payout50.00%
Stop $62.70Target $65.86(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$70.24+8.3%17 analysts
$65.86our TP
$64.88price
$70.24mean
$56
$80

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Terreno Realty Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)43.1
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA26.6
Profit Mgn86.5%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta1.08
Dividend3.16%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV38%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertywarehouse/distribution81%
    10-K Item 1: 'warehouse/distribution (approximately 80.5% of our total annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025)'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNew York City/Northern New Jersey27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 17.9% of our rentable square feet...were located in New York City/Northern New Jersey, representing a combined percentage of approximately 26.6% of our total annualized base rent.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.6
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
4.5
P/OCF: 25.5x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.11Resistance $67.20

Price Targets

$63
$66
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $62.70. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRNO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.86 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $62.70. Stop-loss: $62.70.

What are the risks of investing in TRNO?

Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is TRNO overvalued or undervalued?

Terreno Realty Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 43.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRNO?

24 analysts cover TRNO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Terreno Realty Corporation do?Terreno Realty is an internally managed industrial REIT owning 309 buildings (~19.8M sqft) and 46 improved land parcels...

Terreno Realty is an internally managed industrial REIT owning 309 buildings (~19.8M sqft) and 46 improved land parcels in six major coastal US markets (NYC/NJ, LA, Miami, SF Bay Area, Seattle, DC), 96.1% leased to 683 tenants. Revenue comes from industrial real estate leases: warehouse/distribution 80.5%, improved land 10.1%, transshipment 6.0%, and flex 3.4% of annualized base rent. No single tenant exceeds 4.9% of annualized base rent.

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