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TRNOTerreno Realty CorporationSell5.4·$67.99
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terreno Realty Corporation is a high-quality industrial REIT with best-in-class 87% margins and strong growth credentials, but with the stock trading near its 52-week high above analyst targets, the near-term risk/reward is unfavorable despite the fundamentally compelling business.

Thesis pillars

  • Warehouse Concentration Risk↑Improving
  • Valuation Above Analyst Consensus↓Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat Margin Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 4, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%).

Terreno Realty owns and operates industrial real estate across six major coastal U.S. markets, with 309 buildings totaling approximately 19.8 million square feet at 96.1% leased to 683 customers as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from operating leases at infill locations in... Read more

$67.99-2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.31%
IncomeYield3.35%(5y avg 2.65%)Payout55.91%
Stop $65.19Analyst target $66.23(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$73.59+8.2%17 analysts with price targets
$67.99price
$73.59mean
$60
$85

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Terreno Realty Corporation

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Outperforming peers
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)38.5
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA27.3
Profit Mgn77.3%
ROE9.3%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.35%
Analysts with ratings25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertywarehouse/distribution81%
    10-K Item 1: 'warehouse/distribution (approximately 80.5% of our total annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025)'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNew York City/Northern New Jersey27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'were located in New York City/Northern New Jersey, representing a combined percentage of approximately 26.6% of our total annualized base rent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.3

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.2
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
4.4
P/OCF: 25.8x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.4
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.18Resistance $68.08

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $65.19. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRNO stock price target?

Analyst target $66.23 reached (−2.6% from $67.99); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $65.19. Stop-loss: $65.19.

What are the risks of investing in TRNO?

Concentration risk — Property Type: warehouse/distribution (80.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is TRNO overvalued or undervalued?

Terreno Realty Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 38.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRNO?

25 analysts rate TRNO, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 17 analysts publish price targets averaging $74.

What does Terreno Realty Corporation do?Terreno Realty owns and operates industrial real estate across six major coastal U.S. markets, with 309 buildings...

Terreno Realty owns and operates industrial real estate across six major coastal U.S. markets, with 309 buildings totaling approximately 19.8 million square feet at 96.1% leased to 683 customers as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from operating leases at infill locations in supply-constrained submarkets; warehouse/distribution properties represent 80.5% of annualized base rent, with improved land at 10.1%, transshipment at 6.0%, and flex at 3.4%.

Related stocks: LXP (LXP Industrial Trust) · STAG (Stag Industrial, Inc.) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · IIPR (Innovative Industrial Propertie) · FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, )
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